August 22 2018. This
Friday evening, August 24, 2018, Masters Elite Runners will contest the roads
of Flint Michigan for the title of 2018 National Road Mile Masters Champion. On
the suggestion of some of last year’s competitors, the Race Director decided to
reverse the order of the race to make the turns a little gentler and the modest
elevation changes come where it should enhance overall speed. The 2017 Start
shall be the 2018 Finish and the 2017 Finish will be the 2018 Start! The Women
will line up for a 6:45 pm start and the Men will toe the line at 7 pm sharp. The
current 30 hour ahead weather forecast calls for 72 degrees and partially cloudy skies, 56%
humidity, with winds 8-9 mph—very good conditions for a fast race again this
year! [There is a 30% chance of a few light showers, but a 70% chance of no showers!]
Women Overall
Tammy Nowik, the
home state heroine from Clarkson Michigan is back to try to regain the top spot
that she won in 2016. Last year, in an off year, she dropped to 5th,
but she has regained her fitness and will contest for the win again. It will be
no easy task. She will have to fend off challenges from Melissa Gacek, who took 2nd place at the Twin Cities
Medtronic Mile in May in 5:29. Second in last year’s contest in 5:30, and third
the year before in 5:28, she finished just two seconds back from Nowik that
year. Gacek has a little edge this year in that she took 2nd to
Nowik’s 3rd at the2018 5th
3rd River Bank Run.
Melissa Gacek headed for the Finish Line and 2nd place at the 2017 USATF Masters Mile Championship [Photo courtesy of Melisa Gacek] |
On the other hand, how much relevance does a 25K
have for a Mile run? The renewal of their duel will be enhanced by the addition
of a formidable third opponent, Molly
Watcke, who finished 2nd at the USATF Masters 5K Championship
this past weekend in 18:07. I can find no recent Mile efforts, but the
University of Michigan alumna has plenty of speed and loves to compete in
Michigan! For what it is worth, an 18:07 is a 5:27 equivalent age-grade mile.
Molly Watcke headed for nd Place Overall at the 2018 USATF Masters 5K Championship [Photo by Michael Scott] |
Christina Burbach, Heather Webster, and
Erin LaRusso will also be in the mix
and if any of the top three falter, will be right there to stride their way onto
the podium. Webster and Larusso finished 5th and 6th last
year in 5:41 and 5:43. I cannot find a recent Mile effort for Burbach but her
19:28 at a 5K on St. Patrick’s Day and a 1:25:43 at the Aramco Half Marathon in
January show that she has plenty of endurance.
Molly Watcke Melissa Gacek Tammy Nowik
Men Overall
The Masters Championships have been held as part of the HAP
Crim Fitness Foundation’s Michigan Mile since 2014. For the first time, there
are no returning champions on the Men’s side; a new champion will be crowned.
The chief contenders appear to be: Alan Black,
Tim Rieth, Chuck Schneekloth, and Sam
Teigen. In the Midland Mile last week, Schneekloth finished 2nd
to the famed Masters Miler, Mark Williams, in 4:44. Black ran faster in May
with a 4:37.3 in an All Comers race but his more recent results at longer races
have not matched that. He ran 16:53 at the 5K Masters Championships in Atlanta
this past weekend but, to be fair, Black had to stop at Mile 2 because of
throat/sinus issues. If he can keep those issues at bay for 4 and a half
minutes on Friday, he may need to be reckoned with.
Alan Black [red singlet] running with the front of the field at the 2018 USATF Masters 5K Championship [Photo by Michael Scott] |
Tim Rieth also has a faster recent time at 4:42 but somehow doing
that at a race titled the ‘Graveyard Downhill Mile’ suggested that effort may
have been somewhat gravity-assisted. The question is: how much? Teigen is
included because he is such a strong all-around runner, finishing 4th
in the Masters 8K Championships in Virginia Beach in 26:05, and 3rd
in the 10K Championships with a 33:21. He ran 16:21 in the Fitzgerald Lager 5K
in June. I find no evidence of Mile efforts but if Teigen can figure out the
right pace, his strength may come in handy over the last few hundred meters. I
make Schneekloth the favorite because he has an extra gear he can call on. He
won the Men 40-44 800 Meter Championships in Spokane Washington last month in a
perfectly paced 2:02.57, finishing just behind Mark Williams who ran in the
same heat, winning M45. Matthew Cutrona
ran a 4:54 in the famous (and fast) 5th Avenue Mile in 4:54. Should
any of the others falter, he will be well positioned to move up.
Chuck Schneekloth Sam Teigen Tim Rieth
Age-Grading
Women. The 2nd
place finisher from last year, Jeannie
Rice, 70, is back to see if she can win it this year. Last year’s champion,
Sabra Harvey, is taking a break. She
is focusing all her efforts on defending her World titles at the World Masters
Athletics Outdoor Track and Field Championships in Malaga Spain in early
September. Doreen McCoubrie, who took
3rd in Age-Grading at the 5K this past weekend should be in the
hunt.
Marisa Sutera Strange #287 and Doreen McCoubrie #273 head off in the Masters 5K Championships in Atlanta [Photo by Michael Scott] |
Marisa Sutera Strange would
ordinarily be one of the favorites for age-grading. But it depends on whether
the performance last weekend, a good two minutes slower than her norm, was a
one off aberration or indicative of current fitness. Molly Watcke could also factor in. She took 5th in
Age-Grading at the 5K in Atlanta. Mary Richards,
64, also commands respect. She ran 6:30 last year at this race for a 90.67 age
grade; a recent 19:56 5K suggests she is in similar condition this year. Strange
is definitely the wild card, but if she runs as she did last week, then
McCoubrie, Rice and Watcke could all outscore her. If she runs closer to her
norm, then she could easily win age-grading. In this case, I will opt for
continuity and assume she is again primarily racing for her team.
Jeannie Rice Doreen McCoubrie Mary Richards
Men. None of the
podium finishers from last year, Kevin
Castille, Nat Larson, nor Dave Bussard
are back this year. Tom Bernhard, who
finished 4th last year, is entered but is a scratch due to a calf
issue. The top returning age-grade scorers from last year are Mike Nier, 53, and Doug Goodhue, 76. Nier’s 87.09 and Goodhue’s 86.73 from last year
are probably good predictors for this year’s efforts. Nier has run well all
year and Goodhue, though on the comeback trail, ran well in Atlanta last week
on a challenging course. Goodhue has been a fixture on the age grading podium
through most of his career, and may get there again, but he might need a few
more months of injury-free training. The main threats for the podium come out
of the 55-59 and 60-64 groups. Mark
Zamek, 55, age graded at 89.86 last week in Atlanta. Out of the 60-64 group
we have Roger Sayre, 60, who graded
at 91.33 with his 17:29 at the 5K, and Ken
Youngers, 62, who scored an 88.72.
Roger Sayre #206 early in his 'World Class' Age-Grade performance at the 2018 USATF Masters 5K Championship [Photo by Michael Scott] |
Though Bernhard is not here from
the 65-69 group, Doug Bell and Peter Mullin are. Mullin ran 5:31.4 in
the 1500 Meter run at the Masters Outdoor Championships in Spokane. If that is
a good indicator of current fitness, it is probably not age-grading competitive.
But Mullin had run the 10,000 meter event the day before. Perhaps the 5Ks he
was running in the spring around 19:17 are better indicators. If so, he might
well age grade around 87 to 88 which could be competitive for the podium. Bell
would ordinarily be in the mix, but Mullin has been running a little faster
than Bell this past year, in part because Bell has been struggling with back
issues. Lloyd Hansen and Terry McCluskey from the 70-74 division
have often been on age-grade podiums in the past but they too have been working
to regain their past fitness levels and are probably not quite there yet. I will
go with the order suggested by last week’s 5K in Atlanta.
Roger Sayre Mark Zamek Ken Youngers
Age Division
Women 40-44
Melissa Gacek and
Tammy Nowik should battle it out in
this division. Last year, Heather
Webster slipped in between them but Nowik was off her game.
Tammy Nowik [white singlet] heading for the finish line with Heather Webster closing fast at the 2017 USATF Masters Mile Championship |
This year Nowik
has a couple of 18:20’s 5Ks, so she is probably primed to run right around 5:30
or a bit under, just like Gacek. Gacek has run just a little faster this year
so I will give her the edge but it is almost a toss-up. Webster could upset this
prediction but otherwise should still have a clear road to the division podium.
Melissa Gacek Tammy Nowik Heather Webster
Men 40-44
The primary players in the Overall contest are from this age
division so I will go with the same order.
Chuck Schneekloth Sam Teigen Tim Rieth
Women 45-49
Molly Watcke,
whom I have picked for the Overall win should take the division on the way to the
overall podium. Erin Larusso has run
strong here the last two years and this year should be no exception. She ran
5:47 at the Dart for Art mile earlier this summer. If she can run close to
that, she should take 2nd. Melissa
Senall is running primarily to advance the GVH team in the Grand Prix standings
but will be happy to be on the individual podium as well. She ran 6:03 here
last year.
Molly Watcke Erin Larusso Melissa Senall
Men 45-49
A slim field this year means that Matthew Cutrona and Tim
Stewart will go 1-2. Cutrona has the edge based on his 4:54 at the Fifth Avenue
Mile last year and his 18:15 5K in Atlanta last weekend. Stewart, who has run
his 5K’s in the 21 plus range and ran a 2:28.4 800 Meters at the Outdoor Masters Championshikps,
will be happy to take silver.
Matthew Cutrona Tim Stewart
Women 50-54
Lisa Veneziano
ran 6:01 here last year, with Julie
Pangburn just 4 seconds back. Both may be primed to run a little faster
this year. Veneziano’s 5Ks have been around 19:30, age-grade equivalent to a
5:54. Pangburn ran 5:59 at the McMulen Mile in June and hit 6:03.7 at the
Mid-Atlantic USATF TF Championships.
Jill Geer [left], Lynn Cooke [center], and Lisa Veneziano [right] head for the Finish Line at the 2017 USATF Masters Mile Championship |
They will have to contend with Amy Fakterowitz who ran 5:43 at the McMullen
Mile in 2017. Her 5K times this year have been in the 20+ range so her fitness may
be a little off of last years. Laura
Delea, who ran a 6:14 at the Midland Mile last year and then uncorked a
6:02 at Fifth Avenue could factor into the race for the podium. But her 5K
times, like Fakterowitz, have also been in the 20+ range.
Lisa Veneziano Julie Pangburn Amy Fakterowitz
Men 50-54
Charles Novak who
ran 4:42 here a couple of years ago enters as the favorite. He ran 4:49 at the
Akron 1 Mile in June and 4:41 at the Liberty Mile in Pittsburgh in July. Mike Nier will do his best to overtake
Novak but he was ten seconds slower two years ago when Novak ran his 4:42. Nier
ran 5:01 at the Indor track meet in February and will likely crack 5:00 but
whether he can crack it by enough to threaten Novak is the question.
Mike Nier [far right of picture] darts across the bridge with 400 meters to go at the 2017 USATF Masters Mile Championship [Photo by Melissa Gacek] |
Scott Siriano, a trail runner from
Colorado, could challenge, but appears to be a step slower than Nier. The best
5K time that I can find for him is 17:50, and that was not an altitude race.
Still that is faster than the rest of the field. Should any one falter, it
appears that Louis Csak, Dale Flanders, and Henry Hoffman, who all tend to run their 5K’s in the low 18’s,
could find themselves on the podium instead.
Charles Novak Mike Nier Scott Siriano
Women 55-59
Marisa Sutera Strange
ran 5:26 here two years ago. She has not had the same level of fitness this
year. Still, her 18:55 at Freihofer’s 5K for Women suggested she might still
run something like 5:45. But last week in Atlanta, her time was almost two
minutes slower. If nothing much has changed in the intervening six days, it
seems she is running for the team and will be happy to run a time closer to
6:15. Doreen McCoubrie has not run
here before but ran 5:55 on the track in June and her 19:41 last week in Atlanta
on a challenging course was age grade equivalent to a 6:00 mile. Karyl Sargent ran a 19:54 at Syracuse
last year which was age-grade equivalent to a 6:04 mile, but her 33:25 8k in
Virginia Beach in March was equivalent to a 6:12. So something in the 6:05 to 6:10
range seems a reasonable expectation. Two others who could wind up on the
podium include Terri Cassel and Suzanne Cordes. Cassel is primarily a
longer distance runner. She ran 1:03.5 in the 15K at Tulsa last fall. That
suggests she should be able to break 6:10 in the mile. But she ran 43:42 at the
Bolder Boulder which suggests something closer to 6:15, even allowing for the altitude
effect. Cordes was only 6 seconds behind Strange at Atlanta last week so she
could factor in as well. Even if she is off her game, Strange is fiercely
competitive; I give her the edge for the podium.
Doreen McCoubrie Karyl Sargent Marisa Sutera Strange
Men 55-59
Nat Larson took
this division in 4:49 last year but he is taking the week off after a terrific
3rd place finish Overall in Atlanta last week. In his absence, Mark Zamek, who finished 2nd
to Larson in the Age Division with a 17:04 at Atlanta, is the favorite.
Mark Zamek #237 kicks it into high gear as he nears the finish at the 2018 USATF Masters 5K Championships [Photo by Michael Scott] |
He will
have to fend off Jeff Haertl and Eric Stuber who ran 5:08 and 5:10 here
last year. One complication is that I can find no 2018 results for Haertel and
he did not run in Atlanta last week. Stuber ran a 17:58 5K in June so he appears to
be on track. If Haertel should be in the early stages of a comeback and just
running for the team, that leaves a potential opening for Tim Lambrecht who ran a 5:31 mile at the Dart for Art Mile or for Chuck Bridgman who has run 5Ks in the
mid 18-minute range.
Mark Zamek Eric Stuber Jeff Haertel
Women 60-64
Mary Richards
took the division crown last year in 6:35 and should do so again.
Mary Richards heads for the Finish Line and a Women's 60-64 National Masters Mile Championship in 2017 [Photo by Michael Scott] |
Terry Ozell who finished 4th
in the division has moved up to 65-69, but the Ann Arbor Track Club now has
some contenders for the podium. Carol
Poenisch ran 7:10 at the Dart for Art Mile and has been running 5Ks in the low
to mid-24s. Maggie Hibler has run a
recent 5K in 22:42 and also has a 23:08 5K to her credit. The 23:08 is
age-grade equivalent to a 7:09. It should be close but I will give the edge ot
Poenisch on the basis of her recent Mile effort.
Mary Richards Carol Poenisch Maggie Hibler
Men 60-64
Roger Sayre and Ken Youngers should go 1-2. Sayres won
the division at the 5K in Atlanta last week against a stacked field in 17:29.
Youngers finished off the podium with his 18:18, but that won’t be the case
here. He should run faster than the 5:23 he turned in last year; he ran 5:16 in
May.
Ken Youngers #236 and his 55-59 Teammate, Gary Droze bringing it home at the 2018 USATF Masters 5K Championships [Photo by Michael Scott] |
Michael Young ran 5:30 here last
year and turned in a 5:35 at the Dart for Art Mile. That should be enough to
close out the podium. Both Kevin Dollard
and Mark Rybinski are capable of
breaking 5:40 so they will be right there if any of the top 3 falter.
Roger Sayre Ken Youngers Michael Young
Women 65-69
Terry Ozell ran 7:18
here last year and ran a 7:32 in May. Both times put her a little ahead of Cindy Lucking, whose 25:03 5K in
Atlanta last week age-grades at the equivalent of a 7:49 Mile.
Cindy Lucking heading to the Finishing Line at the 2018 USATF Masters 5K Championships [Photo by Michael Scott] |
But it could be
close; Lucking came in about a minute ahead of Ozell at Cross Country Nationals
in Tallahassee. They are teammates and friends so will probably both be happy
whichever way it turns out.
Terry Ozell Cindy Lucking
Men 65-69
In most recent races the order for this division has been Tom Bernhard, Peter Mullin, Doug Bell, and Kirk Larson.
Kirk Larson #168 Heading for the Finish Line and his First Age Division National Championship at the 2018 USATF Masters 5K Championships [Photo by Michael Scott] |
With Bernhard out, everyone could well move up a
notch. Larson finished a half minute ahead of John Hirschberger at the 5k Last week, with Perry Linn behind him.
Peter Mullin Doug Bell Kirk Larson
Women 70-74
Jeannie Rice, one
of the favorites for the Age Grading podium should take the division with a
wide margin. She ran 6:39 last year. Carol
Rhodes ran a 37:52 5k in Atlanta last week. I can find no recent results
for Susan Hartman and for Judy Melton, only 2017 5ks in 55 to 60
minutes.
Jeannie Rice Carol Rhodes Judy Melton
Men 70-74
Gene Dykes is
skipping the Mile Championship after having taken division firsts at the 10K,
Half Marathon and 5K since turning 70, not to mention breaking the 10K Record
for 70-74 year old’s. He noted that he has tended to strain his hamstring in short
races like the Mile; he has sometimes gotten away with it but does not want to
push his luck. In his absence, Lloyd Hansen,
who finished second to Dykes at the 5K in 20:46 becomes the favorite. His 20:46
age grades to 6:01.
Lloyd Hansen heads for a 2nd place finish as he pulls away from John Hirschberger at the 2018 USATF Masters 5K Championships [Photo by Michael Scott] |
Jerry Learned
was next in Atlanta in 21:37, with Terry
McCluskey 21 seconds back. Those two are age grade equivalent to a 6:16 and
a 6:23. Paul Carlin (That’s me!)
took 2nd last year in 6:14 but I am still on the comeback trail and
have not arrived yet. My 5K time from last week suggests something closer to
6:45 this year. I hope to do better than that, but even breaking 6:30 seems
almost out of reach. Dave Glass who
was on top of the division all last fall and at the start of this year may be
shut off the podium again, but not for lack of trying. Glass could break 6:25
and might wind up on the podium if things break his way.
Lloyd Hansen Jerry Learned Terry McCluskey
Women 75-79
Catherine Radle is
running unopposed. But even if she were challenged, she still might win. She is
running well, with a 35:35 5K last week in Atlanta.
Catherine Radle
Men 75-79
A healthy Doug
Goodhue dominates this division and so far this spring and summer, the ‘Silver
Bullet’ has delivered, taking the crown at the 10K and the 5K last week.
Doug Goodhue gets off to his usual 'Silver Bullet' start. At age 76 he is still leaving behind almost all of the 70-74 and many of the 65-69 year old male runners [Photo by Michael Scott] |
The
only one close to him is Robert Hendrick
who is off to Europe for the WMA games in Malaga. Ron Mastin, who was atop this division a couple of years ago, ran
58:21 this year at the AJC Peachtree Road Race (10K), 8 minutes slower than in
2016 but almost half an hour faster than in 2017. So he is on the way back—always
great to see! Still that suggests a mile time over 8:00. David Cohen ran 7:19 here last year and turned in a 53:02 10K at
Dedham in April; he seems a safe bet for 2nd.
Doug Goodhue David Cohen Ron Mastin
Women 80-84
Unopposed, Tami Graf will
win this race. As in Women 75-79, Graf is running very well and would doubtless
win against most opposition. She clocked 38:38 in a 5K in June.
Tami Graf
Men 80-84
C. Christopher Rush
is running unopposed. The most recent efforts I can find are a 3:14 800 meter
run 3 years ago when he was 79 and a 6:05 1500 Meter run 7 years ago when he
was 75.
C. Christopher Rush
Thanks for the shoutout! I, unfortunately, can't make it to flint. But ran 4:51 in wilmington, de last night!! - Matt Cutrona
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ReplyDeleteI recommend that you at least try it.
It is an app awarded in an app contest
https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.JavierPar.GPSJP