February
25 2016. BREA California—After an exciting and challenging start to the
season in Bend Oregon 3 weeks ago, Elite Masters Long Distance Runners turn
their attention to the 2nd event of the Masters Grand Prix, the
USATF 8K Championship in Southern California’s Orange County. At the close of online registration, 229 of
the fastest Masters Long Distance Runners in the country are entered in the
race which is conducted as part of the 25th running of the Brea
Classic. Onsite registration could push the totals closer to 250 by race time.
Runners will be chasing $10,000 in prize money when they toe the line at 7:30
am this Sunday, February 28.And the weather forecast is near perfect--upper 50's to low 60's during the race with light winds.
Overall.
Men.
The Overall Men’s race to see who finishes first across the line features a
rematch between Pasadena’s, Jacques
Sallberg and Oregon’s Gregory
Mitchell. They met at the USA Masters Cross Country Championship in Bend
Oregon at the beginning of February with Sallberg taking the gold to Mitchell’s
silver. In 2015 Sallberg took the Cross
Country crown in Boulder Colorado but Mitchell got his revenge by claiming the
8K Road crown in Brea. Will the 2015 pattern be repeated or will Sallberg make
it 2 for 2 in 2016? And can anyone else stay with them? Neville Davey is one. He split Mitchell and Sallberg at Club Cross
this past December. And he was only 11 seconds back from Mitchell; can he do
better this time? Kristian Blaich
who won 3 overall Masters Road crowns in 2015 at the 5K, 10K, and 12K is coming
from Georgia to give it a try. But it may be asking a lot; Blaich was not able
to stay with these three at Club Cross. [Late note: Blaich is not listed as one
of the3 Atlanta 40+ team members.
Perhaps he is a scratch.] If he is recovered from a hamstring issue that slowed
him in Bend, John Gardiner is
another runner who could factor overall if any of the others has an off day. Mitchell, Sallberg, Davey
On the Women’s side, Grace Padilla tries to make it two in a
row as she seeks to duplicate her overall victory at the Masters Cross Country
Championship. Nancy Ellis who only
trailed Padilla by 15 seconds at Club Cross will try to close the gap. Tania Fischer will also challenge as
she was only ten seconds behind Ellis at Club Cross. Should any of those three falter,
Cindy Abrami who took 2nd
to Padilla at the Bend XC race, could factor. Julie Ertel could also challenge for the podium; she was only 20
seconds behind Fischer last year at this 8K race. Donna Mills-Honarvar is a wild card in that she is an accomplished
half marathoner and marathoner who took 3rd in her age group at the
Rock n Roll Philadelphia half Marathon in 1:20:21. But she does not run many
races as short as 8K so may not have the sheer speed to stay with the others. Padilla, Ellis, Fischer.
Age
Division Contests.
M40.
See above as Mitchell, Davey, Sallberg and Gardiner are all in this group. Mitchell, Sallberg, Davey.
W40.
See above. Padilla, Ellis, Ertel and Mills-Honarvar are all in W40. Padilla, Ellis, Ertel.
M45.
Kristian Blaich, Christian Cushing-Murray,
and Jerome Vermeulen are the
headliners here. They last met at Club Cross where Cushing-Murray took Blaich’s
measure by 2 seconds, with Vermeulen 20 seconds back. But that was Cross
Country and a slightly longer distance. Blaich took 3 road championships last
year and may be better on the roads than on the XC course. That may also be
true for Vermeulen and, although 8K is not that much less than 10K, Vermeulen
has shown impressive fast twitch muscles in finishing a very tight 2nd
to Greg Mitchell’s 1st in the USATF 1 Mile Championships in Flint, Michigan
last year. It should be a mighty entertaining race.
W45.
Tania Fischer, the defending champion, is the favorite with Cindy Abrami who finished 3rd
last year picked for 2nd.
Nathalie Higley who finished 20
seconds behind Abrami in the 2014 edition of the USATF 8K should be solid for 3rd.
Others who could factor in include Desa Mandarino,
who recently took the W45 bronze medal at the Cross Country Championships at
Bend. Based on their performances at Club Cross in San Francisco, Kerry May and Mary Lynch will also be pushing the pace. Fischer, Abrami, Higley.
M50.
Last year Francis Burdett made an
early West Coast swing, winning the USA XC and Brea 8K M50 contests to get an
early leg up on the USATF Grand Prix. Burdett stayed home in Massachusetts for
the USA XC but will he be looking to fly over the 8K like last year. He clocked
26:50 to take the M50 title by 22 seconds over David Olds. But by the time Club
Cross rolled around in December, Burdett was not up to the promise of February.
Which Burdett will we see on Sunday? The favorite, no doubt, must be Carl Combs. Since turning 50 and
discovering the USATF circuit, he has won Club Cross and the USA XC M50
Championships. Last year he ran 53 seconds faster than Burdett at Brea but was
in the M45 division. Rob Arsenault
of Cal Coast has also moved into the M50 division to join his teammate, Olds.
Arsenault ran 26:36 last year in M45. If he can do that again he should take 2nd
to Combs’s first. At Club Cross, both Robert
Verhees and Arsenault were well
ahead of Burdett. And you can be sure that David
Olds will be pushing the pace; he is always a threat for the podium. At
Carlsbad last year Verhees ran 16:00 to Arsenault’s 16:12 and bested him by
nearly a half minute at Club Cross. Combs,
Verhees, R. Arsenault.
W50.
Kathleen Cushing-Murray, 7th last year in W45 at 32:28 in this
race is definitely a threat in her new division. Rosalva Bonilla ran 33:07 and Debra
Okano 33:26 in the same race so they will be right on Cushing-Murray’s
heels. Laura Stuart ran very well at
Club Cross, finishing right behind Kirsten
leetch who bested Cushing-Murray by a minute in the 2015 8K Championship.
That is enough for me to make her the favorite but Cushing-Murray should push
Stuart to the limit.
Stuart,
Cushing-Murray, Bonilla.
M55.
The M55 contests will see the return of 2012 and 2013 Runner of the Year Brian Pilcher who lost the 2nd
half of the 2015 season to a hamstring flare-up. If his fitness should be
anywhere near normal , he would certainly be the favorite. As of a couple of
weeks ago, however, he had still not tested his speed. Bill
Enicks who tends to run longer races is making an exception to come out to
challenge for the 8K crown. Ray Knerr finished
nearly a minute ahead of Enicks at Club Cross in December but roads and cross
country are somewhat different pursuits. Still Knerr gets the nod for 2nd
because of that result. Pilcher, Knerr, Enicks.
W55.
This is a tough division to handicap because the major contenders have not
typically raced against each other. Kelly
Kruell who won the W55 gold medal at the USA XC earlier this month will
take on Suzanne Morris and Nancy Simmons. Morris finished 1st
in the 2015 edition of this race, winning handily. Simmons took the W55 crown
at the USATF 5K XC Championship at Saratoga Springs. Morris, Kruell, Simmons.
M60.
Defending M60 Champ, Rick
Becker, had a terrific tussle last year with US 10K record-holder, Tom McCormack, sprinting past at the
finish line. He is going for his 2nd 2016 victory this weekend after taking the
M60 XC crown earlier this month. There are rumors that McCormack”s injury rehab
may be nearing its end and we may see him at a race soon, but not this time.
Becker appears to be a few steps ahead of everyone else in M60. But it is, as
usual, a strong field and Becker cannot take anything for granted. Tom Bernhard won several races last year and was the 2015 M60 Grand
Prix Champ. At Club Cross last year, Reno
Stirrat got the better of Bernhard but he has not recently found a way to
do that on the roads. John Victoria should
also be running with that group if recovered from a hamstring issue that popped
up at the very end of the Club Cross race in December. [Late note: The BRR team
let me know that Victoria will not be in Brea due to an issue with back pain. I
hope that is just a temporary setback.] A
terrific trio of runners, Dale Campbell,
Heath Hibbard, and Keith Witthauer, have typically been a half step back from
that group but are poised to move up. Becker,
Bernhard, Stirrat.
W60. Christine
Kennedy who won this W60 race in record-breaking time is presumably now reunited
with her grown daughters in England, plotting
to see if she can break 3 hours in the London Marathon. In any case she is not
in Brea. In her absence Honor Fetherston
who finished 2nd to Kennedy last year should take first. In the 2015
edition of the 8K, Madson Buchbinder
finished a couple of minutes back from Fetherson with Kathy Guiney a few seconds back. Fetherston, Buchbinder, Guiney.
M65. Peter Mullin was
off his game for most of 2015 but now that he has moved up to the next age
division, I suspect he is prepped for a big year. We get our first look at
Brea. The M65 Runner of the Year, Lloyd
Hansen, had to withdraw from this race due to family responsibilities so
that clears the way a bit but Ignacio
Jimenez who bested Hansen at this race last year, will present a stiff
challenge. Jimenez is coming off an M65 win at Bend and will try to make it 2
in a row as he did at the start of last year. Hall of Famer, Doug Bell, may have something to say
about that. He also is moving up to M65 for the first time. He would be favored
for the win but he skipped Club Cross and the USA XC events to rehab an injury
of some sort. Is he fully recovered and ready to contest at the front of M65 or
is he coming as a foot soldier for his team, providing added depth? My guess is
that he is ready to roll but we will have to wait for the race. As with the
previous division there are a number of stalwarts a step back from those 3 who
are keeping the pressure on. Jerry
Learned, Roger Price, and Ronald
Wells could all step onto the podium. Bell,
Mullin, Jimenez.
W65. This looks
like a battle between West Coast and Mountains. California’s Jo Anne Rowland defends her 2015 title
against Colorado’s Edie Stevenson who
claimed gold in the 2015 USATF 5K Championship in Syracuse and the 12K in
Alexandria. Rowland won Brea and
Saratoga-5km X? She took 2nd to 2014 Runner of the Year Sabra Harvey at Club XC and started off
this season with a win at the USA XC at Bend. If Stevenson is on her game, she
should take 1st. Dianne Anderson
may be the best of the rest based on her 5K times and having bested Maggie Fillmore by a minute at Club XC
last December. Stevenson, Rowland,
Anderson.
M70. It seems
every division is packed with exciting contests. Should Jan Frisby, Len Goldman or Gary
Patton be considered the favorite? Frisby is the reigning M70 Runner of the
Year and the defending champ but he ran into an Achilles issue at Syracuse and
this will be his first race since. Frisby says the Achilles has calmed down but
he is not at his usual fitness. Goldman was dominant at the end of the year,
winning M70 at Club Cross. He had a terrific year overall in 2015. At Carlsbad
when Frisby was at full roar, Goldman was able to finish within 30 seconds of
him. Patton is renowned for his track exploits but is always a factor when he
steps onto the roads. He won the M70 gold medal at the USA XC Championships in
Bend earlier this month. Paul Carlin (yours
truly) could factor in the race for the podium but until he runs a good race it
is hard to know how to count him. His training has gone well recently but that
is not a race. I take Frisby at his word as just being a good soldier for the Boulder
Road Runners and rank him lower than his usual spot in front. And I will give
Patton credit for having the hot hand, coming off of Bend. Patton, Goldman, Frisby.
W70. Norma Thomas who
had this division to herself last year is joined by two challengers. Jean Gardner and Irene Terronez will provide the competition but Thomas should be up
to the challenge. Gardner runs a lot of half marathons and races frequently.
But when she ran in the non-USATF portion of the Brea 8K classic last year,
Gardner ran 10 minutes slower than Thomas did. Terronez also runs long races
but does not appear to be terribly fast in 10K’s and below. Thomas, Gardner, Terronez.
M75. Hans Schmid
appears to be the runner to beat. He took M75 gold at Club Cross and should
move up from his 3rd place finish last year in this race. M70 Grand Prix winner, Roland Cormier, who bested Schmid in 2015 is not racing this
weekend. Larry Brooks broke 22 minutes at the Carlsbad 5000 and finished
only 2 minutes behind Schmid at Brea last year. There appears to be a gap back
to the others but Victor Gonzalez has
the times to suggest he can take 3rd. Schmid, Brooks, Gonzalez.
W75. Pat Herr and Dorothy Strand went 1-2 last year and will try for a repeat. The
2015 W75 Grand Prix winner, Madeline
Bost, is making the West Coast trip this year to try her hand at the 8K. As
Bost herself says, she is not the fastest woman in this division but until
another runner or two from this division commit to more national races, she is
the favorite for the 2016 Grand Prix too. Still she ran an 8K in New Jersey a
minute faster than Herr’s winning time in the USATF 8K last year. Based on
that, Bost is the favorite but that hill halfway through the Brea course could be
the equalizer. Bost ,Herr , Strand.
M80. Bill Dodson took
the gold at Club Cross in December and there is no reason to think he is not
still King of the Hill. Bob Rice, Allen
Warren, and Richard Williams should
have quite a tussle to settle the rest of the podium. Dodson,
Williams, Warren.
M85. Gunnar Linde is, as of now, the sole
entrant in this division so should be able to repeat his 2015 win with no
difficulty. Linde.
Age Grading. Last
year it was Pilcher, McCormack and Becker. Favorites for the Men’s Age-Grading title include Rick Becker, Tom Bernhard and, if fully rehabbed, Brian Pilcher. If any of
those falter , Kristian Blaich
(possible scratch though), Francis Burdett,
and Christian Cushing-Murray were
all on at least one National Championship Age-grading podium last year. On the Women’s
side it was Kennedy, Morris, and Fischer. This year it is likely to be a
battle between Tania Fischer, Suzanne Morris, Nancy Simmons, Edie Stevenson,
and Honor Fetherston.
Teams. [Team preview will be added later today. I have received an update from Boulder Road Runners 60+ team. John Victoria is a late scratch. And from the listing of the Atlanta TC 40+ team, I infer that Kristian Blaich is a late scratch also.] Here we go, some divisions not as tightly researched as I would like but all of a sudden my Firefox browser told me that one of my main sources, Athlinks, had improper security so it would no longer connect. Probably a temporary glitch but a temporary glitch the evening before a race is a killer for a preview.
M40+. Looks like Cal Coast all the way. If Atlanta TC had Kristian
Blaich on the team it might have been close and interesting. He is out due
to an untimely bout with the flu. M65 stalwart, Jerry Learned, is their third member but is not expected to keep
pace with the M40’s. A Snail’s Pace
Running and Beach City Runners
will slug it out for 2nd and 3rd; last year they finished
3rd and 5th. Cal Coast TC, A
Snail’s Pace Running. Beach City Runners.
W40+. Last year
it was Janes Elite, Team Runcoach,
and A Snail’s Pace. It should be
quite a race again this year. Team Runcoach is not entered and it looks like
the Janes Elite, Santa Barbara Running and Racing, and A Snail’s Pace all have
strong teams, led by Fischer, Abrami, and Ertel respectively. Janes Elite, Santa Barbara Running and
Racing, A Snail’s Pace.
M50+. Last year
it was Cal Coast, A Snail’s Pace, and Club Ed Running. They are all entered
again but with slightly different rosters. Cal Coast A should take it handily
but Cal Coast B may also be in the
mix. For now I’ll go with the same order as last time but admit I have not had
time to do a full research job on the other West Coast teams with altered
rosters. Cal Coast , A Snail’s Pace,
Club Ed.
W50+. In 2015 it
was A Snail’s Pace followed by Cal Coast and Team Runners High. Cal Coast is not entered this year. The top two
runners for A Snails Pace in 2015 are no ton the team this year while Team
Runners High is only missing their number 2 runner. Team Runners High, A Snail’s Pace, Club Ed Running.
M60+. This division is loaded with competitive
teams. In 2015 it was Cal Coast, Tamalpa
Runners, and Ann Arbor Track Club.
The latter two teams are not entered this year. The 4th and 5th
place teams were A Snail’s Pace and Club Ed Running. The 2015 M60+ Grand Prix
winning team, Boulder Road Runners,
entered with high hopes. But John
Victoria, their lead runner ran into some back pain this week and is a
scratch. They still have a potentially formidable team if the rest are healthy.
Hall of Famer Doug Bell, Heath Hibbard and 2015 M70 Runner of
the Year, Jan Frisby should take 2nd
if they run close to their usual times. But this is the first race for both
Bell and Frisby since before Club Cross. The Shore AC team which finished 4th in the 2015 Grand Prix,
is determined to crack the GP podium this year. Cal Coast should have 1st
place locked in but it could be close between Boulder Road Runners and Shore AC
if any of the Boulder guys have an off day. Shore AC’s top runner, Reno Stirrat has had an off and on
hamstring issue but if he is on, should give Shore AC a great start. If Emmanuel Broady also has a strong day,
Shore will be in contention. If Bell and
Hibbard both run their best, they should take the next two spots. Frisby if he
were fully fit would not be far back. But Frisby says his fitness is a little
off so it is hard to say where he will be. And there are several strong West Coast
teams that will try to keep the visitors off the podium by occupying it
themselves. Florida Track Club-West
could well make the podium if either Boulder RR or Shore AC falter. Cal
Coast, Boulder Road Runners, Shore AC.
W60+. Impala Racing
Team won this division by default in 2015. This year they will have A Snail’s Pace challenging them. Impala Racing Team, A Snail’s Pace.
M70+. Three
Northern California teams came in and dominated the podium last year. Tamalpa Runners, Santa Barbara Running and
Racing, and West Valley Joggers and
Striders finished 1-2-3 in 2015. The
Tamalpa Runners bring the same team
so they are favored. Club Ed Running and
Florida Track Club West. Tamalpa’s
Goldman should lead the way but Florida TC’s Enos and Callaway will try to
finish between Goldman and Schmid. If they can do that, they have a chance at
an upset. Tamalpa Runners, Florida TC West, Club Ed Running.
W70+. A Snail’s Pace
Running Club has this division to itself and will take the gold. With a 5
runner team of Jean Gardner, Pat Herr,
Veronica Noguer, Dorothy Strand, and Norma
Thomas, they would e a formidable team no matter who else was entered. A Snail’s
Pace.
M80+. Like the
W70+, this is a division that does not always get a qualified entrant with
three runners. So it is great that the San
Diego Track Club has William Crum,
Edward Gookin, and Warren Osborn
entered to claim the M80+ gold medal. But
they have no room for error. All 3 have to deliver for the team to win.
M40+. Looks like Cal Coast all the way. If Atlanta TC had Kristian
Blaich on the team it might have been close and interesting. He is out due
to an untimely bout with the flu. M65 stalwart, Jerry Learned, is their third member but is not expected to keep
pace with the M40’s. A Snail’s Pace
Running and Beach City Runners
will slug it out for 2nd and 3rd; last year they finished
3rd and 5th. Cal Coast TC, A
Snail’s Pace Running. Beach City Runners.
W40+. Last year
it was Janes Elite, Team Runcoach,
and A Snail’s Pace. It should be
quite a race again this year. Team Runcoach is not entered and it looks like
the Janes Elite, Santa Barbara Running and Racing, and A Snail’s Pace all have
strong teams, led by Fischer, Abrami, and Ertel respectively. Janes Elite, Santa Barbara Running and
Racing, A Snail’s Pace.
M50+. Last year
it was Cal Coast, A Snail’s Pace, and Club Ed Running. They are all entered
again but with slightly different rosters. Cal Coast A should take it handily
but Cal Coast B may also be in the
mix. For now I’ll go with the same order as last time but admit I have not had
time to do a full research job on the other West Coast teams with altered
rosters. Cal Coast , A Snail’s Pace,
Club Ed.
W50+. In 2015 it
was A Snail’s Pace followed by Cal Coast and Team Runners High. Cal Coast is not entered this year. The top two
runners for A Snails Pace in 2015 are no ton the team this year while Team
Runners High is only missing their number 2 runner. Team Runners High, A Snail’s Pace, Club Ed Running.
M60+. This division is loaded with competitive
teams. In 2015 it was Cal Coast, Tamalpa
Runners, and Ann Arbor Track Club.
The latter two teams are not entered this year. The 4th and 5th
place teams were A Snail’s Pace and Club Ed Running. The 2015 M60+ Grand Prix
winning team, Boulder Road Runners,
entered with high hopes. But John
Victoria, their lead runer ran into some back pain this week and is a
scratch. They still have a potentially formidable team if the rest are healthy.
Hall of Famer Doug Bell, Heath Hibbard and 2015 M70 Runner of
the Year, Jan Frisby should take 2nd
if they run close to their usual times. But this is the first race for both
Bell and Frisby since before Club Cross. The Shore AC team which finished 4th in the 2015 Grand Prix,
is determined to crack the GP podium this year. Cal Coast should have 1st
place locked in but it could be close between Boulder Road Runners and Shore AC
if any of the Boulder guys have an off day. Shore AC’s top runner, Reno Stirrat has had an off and on
hamstring issue but if he is on, should give Shore AC a great start. If Emmanuel Broady also has a strong day,
Shore will be in contention. If Bell and
Hibbard both run their best, they should take the next two spots. Frisby if he
were fully fit would not be far back. But Frisby says his fitness is a little
off so it is hard to say where he will be. And there are several strong West Coast
teams that will try to keep the visitors off the podium by occupying it
themselves. Florida Track Club-West
could well make the podium if either Bouldeer RR or Shore AC falter. Cal
Coast, Boulder Road Runners, Shore AC.
W60+. Impala Racing
Team won this division by default in 2015. This year they will have A Snail’s Pace challenging them. Impala Racing Team, A Snail’s Pace.
M70+. Three
Northern California teams came in and dominated the podium last year. Tamalpa Runners, Santa Barbara Running and
Racing, and West Valley Joggers and
Striders finished 1-2-3 in 2015. The
Tamalpa Runners bring the same team
so they are favored. Club Ed Running and
Florida Track Club West. Tamalpa’s
Goldman should lead the way but Florida TC’s Enos and Callaway will try to
finish between Goldman and Schmid. If they can do that, they have a chance at
an upset. Tamalpa Runners, Florida TC West, Club Ed Running.
W70+. A Snail’s Pace
Running Club has this division to itself and will take the gold. With a 5
runner team of Jean Gardner, Pat Herr,
Veronica Noguer, Dorothy Strand, and Norma
Thomas, they would e a formidable team no matter who else was entered. A Snail’s
Pace.
M80+. Like the
W70+, this is a division that does not always get a qualified entrant with
three runners. So it is great that the San
Diego Track Club has William Crum,
Edward Gookin, and Warren Osborn
entered to claim the M80+ gold medal. But
they have no room for error. All 3 have to deliver for the team to win.