Wednesday, September 25, 2024

Warm & Humid? Who Cares? Three American Records Set at the 2024 USATF Masters 12 Km Championships

September 18, 2024 HIGHLANDS NJ USATF-NJ's By Hook or by Crook Run hosted the USATF Masters 12 Km Championships for the fourth time this past Sunday, September 15th. It was pleasant and cool enough during early warmups, but the weather forecasters had promised a sunny, humid day by race time. As it turned out, they were right. At start time of 9 AM, the temperature was 72F and dewpoint at 62. The official weather record indicates partly cloudy during the race. But that was not the experience that athletes had. Almost all said that they were running in sunshine except for the few parts of the course that had partial shade over the road. According to the forecast, humidity would remain high as measured by the dewpoint throughout the Race. Luckily that did not happen. By 9:45, the dewpoint had fallen to 58; it did not start to rise again until after all entrants had finished. So, it was warm and humid but not killer. An 8-12 mph breeze helped it feel cooler although runners noticed it when running into the wind. Many runners slowed noticeably during or right after Mile 5; most recovered well and finished strong. Certainly the three record breakers ran well!

RECORDS Chip time, not gun time, is used for Masters American Age Division Records. We have seen some American Records set here every year but 2022 when the temperature and humidity made running conditions difficult. This time we got three new AR's. Roberta Groner 46, Suzanne La Burt 61, and Sandra Folzer 85 broke the current record for 45-49, 60-64 and 85-89 respectively. 

Groner came to elite Open runner status at an unusually late age. Her greatest fame was probably when she finished as first American in the Women's Marathon at the 2019 World Athletics Championships in Doha. In 2021 she won the Overall championships here, at age 43, in 42:14 42:12chip time. Returning at age 46, she could run over a minute slower and still break the record of 43:38. A 5:50 pace would allow her to break the record with a few seconds to spare. It was not close. Groner went out at 5:37 for the first mile and continued to hit splits at well under 5:50. It was a well-controlled effort. Her slowest splits were 5:42 and her fastest 5:35. She ran just nine seconds slower than three years earlier. Her net time of 42:21 broke the existing 45-49 American Record of 43:38, set by Nancy Grayson almost thirty years ago!

Roberta Groner builds her lead in the early stages on her way to a Record-Breaking Overall Win at the 2024 USATF Masters 12 Km Championships Hosted by USATF-NJ's 'By Hook Or By Crook' Run Photo Credit: Jason Timochko

  La Burt had this record on her radar after her exceptional run in Flint Michigan. She covered that hilly, ten-mile course in 1:05:23 chip time or 6:53.8 per mile. The record for the 12K was set by Masters Hall of Famer, Kathryn 'Kathy' Martin, in 2018 at 48:54. In 2014, Martin was the 'phenom' breaking records left and right. To break one of her records is no small feat. To break that record, La Burt would have to average just under 6:34 per mile. She decided to aim for 6:30 pace; if she could average 6:30 per mile, she would have the record with 26 seconds to spare! She was right on target for the first five miles or so. But after that, there was a little slippage, and she had to gut it out to keep her pace down and get the record! In the end she stopped the clock at 48:39 chip. La Burt had the record with 15 seconds to spare!
Suzanne La Burt finishes off her 60-64 Record-Breaking 12 Km while winning her division at the 2024 USATF Masters 12 Km Championships Hosted by USATF-NJ's 'By Hook Or By Crook' Run Photo Credit: Jason Timochko 

Folzer has won the 80-84 division the last two years. running 1:24:15 in 2022, when the weather was very hot and humid. To her surprise and some disappointment, the next year, when the weather was more conducive to fast times, she won again but with a slower time, 1:28:10. I do not know if Folzer was aware of the existing record for 85-89. She may have simply been determined to right the ship in the first year of her new age division and get back down closer to her 2022 time. A dozen years ago, Evelyn Creager established the 85-89 AR at 1:54:49. If Folzer was aware of the record, she must have been confident of breaking it. Even the time she viewed as 'slow', her 2023 time, was faster than the record. Indeed, even if she had, mysteriously, lost another 4 minutes of time on her 12 Km time, she would have a cushion of more than 20 minutes. Folzer did not need it. She had a good day, cracking the 1:25:00 barrier again with a 1:24:35 chip. Folzer broke the American 85-89 Record for Women by over a half hour-Wow!

Sandra Folzer blue kit, center right in the early stages of her 85-89 Record breaking win at the 2024 USATF Masters 12 Km Championships Hosted by USATF-NJ's 'By Hook Or By Crook' Run Photo Credit: Jason Timochko  

OVERALL CHAMPIONSHIPS MEN Mario Vazquez Hartbeat New England won the 2023 Masters 10 Km Championships in 31:50, and was the silver medalist at the 2024 Championships, behind World Mountain Running champion, Joseph Gray, in 31:02. He was widely expected to win. Vazquez threw down a 4:50 first mile to discourage any potential rivals. It worked. The only athlete who stayed close was Brian Flynn Garden State Track Club, the defending champion who took the crown last year in 39:00, a 5:14 average per mile. Even Flynn had lost a couple of dozen meters a mile and a half into the race. Flynn, in turn, had a good forty meters on a chase pack led by the silver medalist last year, Fabian Daza Garden State. Also in the pack were Dickson Mercer GRC Tracksmith, Aaron Totten-Lancaster Garden State, Joseph Gaynor Garden State, David Angell Roanoke Valley Elite and Michael Dixon Unattached New Jersey. Small gaps of a few meters were already starting to appear. It was another twenty meters or so back to a second chase pack consisting of David Guzik Manchester Running Co, Chuck Terry Willow Street AC, and Shane Anthony Unattached PA. The gaps between Vazquez, Flynn and Daza grew, but the order held. Vazquez claimed the win in 38:26, with Flynn 45 seconds back and Daza another 55 seconds back,

Mario Vazquez claims the Overall Win at the 2024 USATF Masters 12 Km Championships Hosted by USATF-NJ's 'By Hook Or By Crook' Run Photo Credit: Jason Timochko  


 taking the bronze medal. Mercer and Gaynor maintained their 4th and 5th positions all the way to the finish, Mercer 4th in 40:56, with Gaynor fifth in 41:17. Terry's conservative strategy paid off as he moved up from the second chase pack to take 6th, followed by Dixon, Angell, Toten-Lancaster, Guzik and Anthony in that order.

Mario Vazquez 38:26     Brian Flynn 39:11     Fabian Daza 40:06

WOMEN Roberta Groner Central Park Track Club was an even stronger favorite in the Women's race. Groner's highest fame came from her being the top finisher for Team USA in the Women's Marathon at the 2019 Doha World Championships. She also took the overall Masters 12K Championship on this course in 2021, running 42:14. In the two years following, the Women's Overall winning times have been at least two minutes slower. Groner's recent races include a 1:12:56 at the Jacksonville Half Marathon last December and a 34:01 10K at Citizens Queens 10K this past June. her stiffest competition would likely come from Karen Bertasso Crew Racing who clocked 1:17:49 at the 3M Half Marathon in Austin TX in 2023. Others who would contend for the podium included Jessica Francis Shore AC who ran a 1:22:31 Half Marathon last November. Maria Mahoney Garden State earned the bronze medal for finishing third among women overall at the Ridgewood Run 10K in 39:10. None were competitive with Groner but it would be a real battle for the other podium spots.

Groner went out fast, as noted, hitting her first mile split in 5:37. Bertasso was 25 meters back by the 1.5 Mile mark but had Groner in sight. Francis was 25 meters behind Bertasso, with Mahoney another 20 meters back and a good 40 meters more to Francis. There was no catching Groner who took the win in 42:23! 

Roberta Groner takes the Overall Win at the 2024 USATF Masters 12 Km Championships Hosted by USATF-NJ's 'By Hook Or By Crook' Run Photo Credit: Jason Timochko  


Bertasso held it together all the way to the finish, a minute and a half behind Groner. Had Bertasso been entered and run that fast in either of the last two years it would have been a winning time. Francis was over 400 meters behind Bertasso as she claimed the bronze medal with her 45:53. Francis was more than a hundred meters ahead of the fourth place finished, Mahoney. But it was much closer between Mahoney and Wakeling. Less than forty meters separated them, but Mahoney closed strongly to keep Wakeling at bay. Mahoney had fourth in 46:32 with Wakeling 5th at 46:46.

Roberta Groner 42:23     Karen Bertasso 43:58     Jessica Francis 45:53

AGE GRADING CHAMPIONSHIPS

NOTE: Age grading is a system that assigns a percentage score, called the Performance Level Percentage, or PLP, to each competitor on the basis of how close they come to the world's best possible time for their individual year of age. The following is not exactly how they are calculated but gives a reader the idea of how they work. The times are plausible but made up. If the world's best possible time for a 40-year-old male, for example, were 30 minutes and a competitor had a chip time of 40 minutes, then their PLP is 75%. If the same individual had finished in 36 minutes, then their PLP would have been 100 x (36/40) or 90%. The faster the time relative to the world's best, the higher the PLP. In this championship, age grading cash prizes went five-deep.

WOMEN If you had guessed that the record-breakers, Suzanne La Burt Shore AC and Roberta Groner Central Park TC had some of the top Age Grading PLP's, you would be correct. But you would not have picked the podium. La Burt was second in the age grading competition; her chip time of 48:39, at age 61, not only broke the 60-64 American Record, it achieved an age grade PLP of 95.87%. Groner's 42:21 chip time, at age 46, broke the 45-49 AR and achieved a PLP of 92.36%, good for fourth place. Mary Cass Liberty AC did not run fast enough to stay with La Burt in the 60-64 age division but she outpointed Groner on PLP. Cass's 51:11 at age 63 scored a 93.56 and third place. The winner was Nora Cary Shore AC, who set the 65-69 AR three years ago, when she was 66. Her 51:41 at age 69 earned a whopping PLP of 100.73%! 

Nora Cary #187 pushes the pace on her way to a phenomenal Age Grading PLP of 100.73% at the 2024 USATF Masters 12 Km Championships Hosted by USATF-NJ's 'By Hook Or By Crook' Run Photo Credit: Jason Timochko   


Also in the top five was Fiona Bayly Urban Athletics. Her 47:58 at age 57 scored 92.42%, leaving her in fourth, just six-hundredths of a percentage point ahead of Groner. 

Nora Cary 69 51:41 100.73%     Suzanne La Burt 61 48:39 95.87%     Mary Cass 63 51:11 93.56%

MEN Nat Larson Greater Springfield Harriers has been on the age grading podium at almost every Masters national championship he has contested over the last ten years. He claimed that age grading championship at 93.62%. He is the defending 12 Km age grading champion at 93.7%. Ken Youngers Atlanta TC achieved his second age grading podium in a row. He had a fine outing at the Ten Mile Championships in Flint MI three weeks earlier, snagging the bronze age grading medal. At these championships, as one of his 65-69 rivals put it. "The gun went off and Ken took off. I tried to get up with him but there was no way; he was gone and I never caught him!" That performance resulted in a 47:01 chip time at age 68, good for a 90.50 PLP and the win. 

Ken Youngers red singlet #174 Pushes the Pace as he races with top runners ten years younger On His Way to the Top Men's Age Grading score at the 2024 USATF Masters 12 Km Championships Hosted by USATF-NJ's 'By Hook Or By Crook' Run Photo Credit: Jason Timochko   

Just a half percentage point back was Vazquez, the Overall winner. Podium finishes in both Overall and Age Grading is a rare achievement. His 38:24, at 45, was graded at 90.01%. Larson’s 44:36 at 62, left him in third, just two-hundredths of a percentage point behind Vazquez at 89.99. His teammate, Mark Hixson Greater Springfield finished fourth' Hixson's 43:53 at age 59 earned an 88.93%. Rick Lee Unattached New Jersey, who took the silver age grading medal last year, snagged the last cash prize. His 45:44 at age 63 graded at 88.59%, good for fifth place.

Ken Youngers 68 47:01 90.50%     Mario Vazquez 45 38:24 90.01%     Nat Larson 62 44:36 89.99%

AGE DIVISION CHAMPIONSHIPMEN 40-44 Flynn Garden State, Daza Garden State, and Mercer GRC Tracksmith went 2-3-4 Overall and so finished 1-2-3 in this division. 

Brian Flynn yellow & black #210, with an Open Runner hanging on, looks to say as close to Vazquez as he can, while leaving the rest of the field behind at the 2024 USATF Masters 12 Km Championships Hosted by USATF-NJ's 'By Hook Or By Crook' Run Photo Credit: Jason Timochko  

They were followed by Gaynor Garden State, 4th at 41:17; Terry Willow Street, 5th at 41:28 and Dixon Unattached New Jersey, in sixth, just two seconds behind Terry.

Brian Flynn 39:11     Fabian Daza 40:06     Dickson Mercer 40:56

Chase Pack Led by Fabian Daza #192, with Dickson Mercer blue singlet, an Open Runner #405, Aaron Totten-Lancaster #307, Joe Gaynor #216, and David Angell #102 background at the 2024 USATF Masters 12 Km Championships Hosted by USATF-NJ's 'By Hook Or By Crook' Run Photo Credit: Jason Timochko  

45-49 Vazquez, Angell, and Totten-Lancaster finished 1st, 8th and 9th overall. They go 1-2-3 n this division. 

Aaron Totten-Lancaster #307 leads David Angell #102 in the 45-49 division, along withJoe Gaynor 40-44 in the early going at the 2024 USATF Masters 12 Km Championships Hosted by USATF-NJ's 'By Hook Or By Crook' Run Photo Credit: Jason Timochko


Jordan Varano Unattached NY, who was on the Utica Boilermaker 15K division podium this year, finished fourth, a minute and a half behind Totten-Lancaster.

Mario Vazquez 38:26     David Angell 41:55     Aaron Totten-Lancaster 42:29

50-54 David Guzik Manchester Running Co was in contention for the Overall podium in the early going. Once that slipped away he could concentrate on the division. He had a good 30 meters on Frederick Dolan Atlanta TC at the 1.5 Mile mark and built it throughout the rest of the race. Dolan kept it close though. Guzik's winning margin was just over sixty meters at the finish. 

David Guzik #132 pushed the pace early on his way to the M50 win. He leads Chuck Terry #170, an Open Runner no shirt, and Shane Anthony green singlet, obscured at the 2024 USATF Masters 12 Km Championships Hosted by USATF-NJ's 'By Hook Or By Crook' Run Photo Credit: Jason Timochko

Dolan, who won the silver medal att he masters 10 Mile Championships in Flint MI last month, made it two in a row. Dolan had a lead of well over a quarter mile on the field when he crossed the finish line. Luis Absalon Clifton Roadrunners, who finished tenth in this division last year, moved up to the bronze medal this year. Just over a minute later, Robert Irwin Willow Street AC finished fourth He was followed half a minute later by Brian Sydow Atlanta Track Club in fifth.

David Guzik 43:51     Frederick Dolan 44:09     Luis Absalon 46:20

55-59 Brian Crowley, the defending champion developed a conflict and could not compete. The three-way contest anticipated between Crowley, Hixson Greater Springfield and Shane Anthony Unattached PA did not take place. Anthony, in his first year in the division, started out strong, running with Guzik from M50 for the first part of the race. At Mile 1.5, Anthony had a good 40-meter lead on Hixson. Anthony, like most others, slowed a bit over miles 5 and 6, but finished strong. Anthony grew his lead to over forty meters by the time he crossed the finish line to claim the gold medal. 

Shane Anthony wins the M55 Division by a large margin, ahead of an Open runner at the 2024 USATF Masters 12 Km Championships Hosted by USATF-NJ's 'By Hook Or By Crook' Run Photo Credit: Jason Timochko 

Hixson could not stay with Anthony but held off everyone else. His closest rival, Carlos Nunes New Jersey Pacers, was well over a quarter mile back when Hixson was claiming the silver medal. Forty-eight seconds after Nunes crossed the finish line in third place, Dale Flanders Genesee Valley Harriers sped across the finish line in fourth, edging John Hogan Garden State by just three seconds.

Shane Anthony 42:58     Mark Hixson 43:56     Carlos Nunes 46:07

60-64 Larson not only made the age grading podium, he defended his division championship. Last year it was Larson and Lee going 1-2 in 42:36 and 43:25, with Lester Dragstedt fifth at 46:18. Each had an injury issue to deal with in the weeks leading up to these championships. Larson had not competed at a national championship since the end of April. Lee seems able to compete whether healthy or not without causing long-term damage. A week before this championship, Lee raced the 5th Avenue Mile, finishing 5th in 60-64 in 5:19. The week before that it was half of the Faxon Law HM Relay in New Haven. And the week before that was when he felt a sharp, burning pain in his left calf during a Half Marathon, his 6th event at the World Masters Athletics Championships in Sweden. You get the idea; he races a lot! Dragstedt, too, was on the comeback trail after a stress fracture in early June. Dragstedt also competed at WMA. All ran a bit slower this year, partially due to the weather. Unlike last year where Larson and Lee battled for much of the race, Larson went out to an early lead. Lee, with a compression sock on his left leg, took it out hard. His first mile was only 30 seconds slower than his time at the 5th Ave Mile the week before. Larson was content to let Lee have the early lead. By the 4th mile, Lee needed to ease up; his 4th mile was 16 seconds slower than his third. Larson worked his way past and continued to add to his lead with every remaining mile. Larson had the win in the end with a cushion of well over 200 meters. 

Nat Larson charges to the Finish Line and his M60 Win at the 2024 USATF Masters 12 Km Championships Hosted by USATF-NJ's 'By Hook Or By Crook' Run Photo Credit: Jason Timochko  

Lee is a tough customer, no doubt; he earned his silver medal, as did Dragstedt, a quarter mile behind Lee in 3rd. Alberto Perez New Jersey Pacers, 8th last year in M55, finished 4th at 48:14.

Nat Larson 44:40     Rick Lee 45:47     Lester Dragstedt 47:50

65-69 It has been a good late summer of championship racing for Ken Youngers Atlanta TC. Second in your age division at the Masters Ten Mile Championships might not sound great but when you have Rick Becker in your age division, things are not easy. That Becker and Youngers went 1-3 in age grading is more indicative of the fine run that Youngers enjoyed in Flint last month. It is especially gratifying because Youngers has had back issues and other health challenges over the last couple of years. As noted in the age grading section above, Youngers had another sterling day. No one could stay with him as he won the age division and moved up to the gold medal position in age grading, 

Jay Littlepage purple singlet takes it out hard on his way to the M65 Silver Medal, running with M60 Rich Power #160, M50 Christophe Cadiou #112, and another younger Atlanta runner at the 2024 USATF Masters 12 Km Championships Hosted by USATF-NJ's 'By Hook Or By Crook' Run Photo Credit: Jason Timochko


Jay Littlepage Athletics Boulder who just moved up to M65 this year, came in with high hopes. He had finished ahead of Youngers at the 10 Km Championships at the end of April, albeit in different age divisions. Youngers gave him no chance. Even though Littlepage covered his first mile in 6:16, he was a good 50 meters astern of Youngers by the 1.5-mile mark. By the time Youngers crossed the finish line, he had 150 meters on his rival from Colorado. Littlepage was happy with his race. He had run just 14 seconds slower than the previous year when the weather was more conducive to good times. Most athletes who were here last year ran slower this year and some ran much slower. When Littlepage came across the line in 2nd, third place finisher, John Blaser Unattached IA, still had a half mile to go. But Blaser, in turn, had a good minute on his closest division rivals. In a race for team bragging rights, the 'new kid on the block', Carl Gensib65 Shore AC, held off Kevin Dollard Shore AC to take 4th place by a single second!

Ken Youngers 47:06     Jay Littlepage 47:47     John Blaser 51:32

70-74 Rehabbing injuries for much of the past few years, it had been a while since Reno Stirrat Shore AC was a top contender for the age division prize. Despite being a regular podium contender in the 60-64 division before the Covid pandemic, the 65-69 podium had been elusive if not absent. With his worst injuries behind him and a new age division, Stirrat has had a good 2024. He finished 5th at the Masters 10 Km in late April but was well within a minute of the winner. Fifth again at the Ten Mile Championships, Stirrat closed strong to finish just two seconds behind Joe Reda Unattached WI, the winner of the 10 Km Championship. Perhaps more importantly Stirrat covered that hilly course over two minutes faster than he ran in his late February 10 Miler. Coming into this race, his training had been good; Stirrat liked his chances. Going out strong with his running partner, Dollard, from 65-69, Stirrat hit the first mile in 6:43. By a half mile later he had a good 20 meters on his closest rival, Don Morrison Greater Philadelphia TC. It was another ten meters back to Reda, in third and another ten beyond Reda to Fernando Moura Greater Philadelphia, in fourth. Mura's conservative approach in the early going paid off later. He was able to surge past Reda and Morrison. But he could not catch Stirrat! Stirrat was still averaging under his ideal target of 7 minutes a mile average at the 5-mile mark. Slowing noticeably in the 6th mile, he recovered nicely in the seventh, reaching deep to push his pace back closer to 7. When he crossed the finish line in first, Stirrat had a lead of over 300 meters! 

Reno Stirrat closes strong to take the M70 Win at the 2024 USATF Masters 12 Km Championships Hosted by USATF-NJ's 'By Hook Or By Crook' Run Photo Credit: Jason Timochko

In the battle for second place, Moura had more than his rivals at the end. He claimed the silver medal fifteen meters ahead of Morrison who was, in turn, about 15 meters ahead of Reda.

Reno Stirrat 52:55     Fernando Moura 54:30     Don Morrison 54:35

75-79 Jerry Learned Atlanta TC and I, Paul Carlin Ann Arbor TC, have been rivals on the USATF Masters national circuit for the past ten years or so. In the early years I had a small edge. Later it was a toss-up. Since Covid it has been all Learned. We were entering as the favorites for 1-2 but no one would have expected it to be close. It was not. I kept Jerry in sight for much of the first mile but that was it. He probably hit his first mile under 8 minutes, and I was at 8:18. By the 1.5 Mile mark I was at least 60 meters back. Learned had no trouble taking the win; he was almost four minutes ahead of me at the finish. The rest of the field was further behind Learned. It was a dominant win for Learned!

Jerry Learned heads to the finish line and his dominant M75 win, with no rivals in sight, at the 2024 USATF Masters 12 Km Championships Hosted by USATF-NJ's 'By Hook Or By Crook' Run Photo Credit: Jason Timochko 

When I claimed second, Bruce Langenkamp Morris County Striders had over a kilometer to go. Langenkamp kept it up all the way to the finish line with the sun beating down a little hotter each minute. A year and a half ago, Allen Joyce Atlanta TC beat me on the Cross Country course in Richmond, VA. A couple of months later, at the Ten Mile Championships in Sacramento last year in April, I passed him at the 6-mile mark. Joyce passed me back with less than a half mile to go, but I was able to rally and pull away in the stretch to come in ahead of him. But it has not been as close in the last year; Joyce must be struggling with injury or a health issue. He was running for the team, finishing fourth, two minutes behind Langenkamp. Przemek Nowicki, who programs the Individual Grand Prix standings as a volunteer, had a tough day on the course, but finished fifth.

Jerry Learned 1:00:52     Paul Carlin 1:04:47     Bruce Langenkamp 1:11:51

80-84 Jan Frisby Boulder Road Runners turned 80 earlier this year and promptly took wins at the Masters 10 Km and 1 Mile championships. But as his training was ramping up for the WMA Championships in Gothenburg, Sweden, Frisby strained his glute. He finished out of the medals at the one race he was able to run n Sweden. The rehab he did in the run up to this championship enabled him to largely heal the glute but his fitness had deteriorated due to the inability to perform standard workouts. He told me he would be delighted to run 9 minutes per mile pace, if possible, and to finish 4th or better to increase his Grand Prix point total. Tom Jennings Greater Philadelphia TC who has won many a division national championship on the track came in with credentials suggesting he might run around 9 minutes a mile or faster. His 44:31 win at the Spring Lake 5 Miler in late May corresponds to a 1:07:30 12 Km, about three ticks over 9 minutes per mile pace. His 1:29:36 at the flat, fast Blue Cross Broad Street Run 10 Miler in Philadelphia in early May lines up with a 1:05:25 10 Miler. That is probably too optimistic, but it suggested that Jennings might manage a sub-9 pace for the 12 K. Edward Leydon ran 1:34:05 at the Annapolis Ten Mile Run last month; that matches up with a 1:08:41 12K, a pace of 9:13 per mile. It looked like a pretty close race among the prime contenders, even if the rest of the field was a bit more spaced out. Frisby took it out the fastest, but Jennings and Leydon were not far back. Frisby had just 15 meters on Jennings at Mile 1.5, with Leydon only a few meters further back. After the 5th mile, Frisby started to struggle and the 9-minute per mile goal pace went by the board. Jennings and Leydon both worked their way past. Jennings pulled away from Leydon, claiming the win in 1:07:58. 

Tom Jennings blue singlet, far left cruises to the Finish Line and his M80 Gold Medal at the 2024 USATF Masters 12 Km Championships Hosted by USATF-NJ's 'By Hook Or By Crook' Run Photo Credit: Jason Timochko  

His average pace of 9:07 per mile was very creditable in the conditions prevailing for those running into the mid-morning when temperatures rose to 77F. Leydon was only seven seconds behind Jennings, but Jennings powered to the line with a full head of steam and determination! Leydon could not close down the gap! Two minutes later, Frisby crossed the finish line. He had not managed the 9-minute per mile pace he hoped for, but his bronze medal finish was one better than his goal of 4th or above. After Frisby stopped, it took the fourth place finisher, Daniel Kirsch New Jersey Masters TF, almost 18 minutes to finish. That shows determination!

Tom Jennings 1:07:58     Edward Leydon 1:08:05     Jan Frisby 1:10:00

WOMEN 40-44 Bertasso, Francis, and Mahoney went 2-3-4 overall. At the same time, they finished 1-2-3 in this division. 

Karen Bertasso closes out her highly successful run, claiming the 2nd spot Overall and the Gold Medal in W40 at the 2024 USATF Masters 12 Km Championships Hosted by USATF-NJ's 'By Hook Or By Crook' Run Photo Credit: Jason Timochko  


Elizabeth Wakeling Garden State was their closest competitor. She had already lost considerable ground to those three by the time they passed the 1.5 Mile marker. Wakeling was not able to capitalize on her more conservative start, but she also did not lose much further ground. Wakeling was just 14 seconds behind Mahoney at the finish.

Karen Bertasso 43:58     Jessica Francis 45:53     Maria Mahoney 46:32

45-49 Groner led the way overall, breaking the American 45-49 12 Km Record. She takes the 45-49 division crown as well. Jeanelle Jamison Garden State lived up to her reputation. Jamison had run a 1:31:29 Half Marathon at the Philadelphia Distance Run last fall and a 1:08:05 Ten Miler at the Blue Cross Borad Street Run this May. Both suggested a time around 50 minutes was possible. Jamison did not quite manage that, likely due to the warm conditions, but she had no trouble snagging the silver medal. 

Jeanelle Jamison won the Women's 45-49 Silver Medal at the 2024 USATF Masters 12 Km Championships Hosted by USATF-NJ's 'By Hook Or By Crook' Run Photo Credit: Jason Timochko   

It was well over a quarter of a mile back to the bronze medal winner, Lori Kilmurray New Jersey Pacers. Kilmurray dominated the rest of the field. When she crossed the finish line, her closest rival still had 2 kilometers to run.

Roberta Groner 42:23     Jeanelle Jamison 55:54     Lori Killmurray 58:21

50-54 Hortencia Aliaga's bronze medal performance in the 10K at the WMA Championships in 38:09 served notice that she had to be considered a contender for the win. Abby Dean had entered but, in the end, was not able to be at the Championships. That left Aliaga the clear favorite for the win. She did not disappoint. Aliaga was just outside the top 5 overall in the early going and had a good 60 meters on her teammate, Katherine Huggins Garden State, her closest division rival on the day, at the Mile 1.5 mark. Huggins, in turn, had a healthy lead on another teammate, Kimberly AspholmAli Marzulla Shore AC was a few strides back from Aspholm. The gaps grew larger, but the order remained the same throughout the race. Aliaga sped to a comfortable win, with a cushion of nearly a half mile. 

Hortencia Aliaga, firing on all cylinders as she finishes off her Women's 50-54 Gold Medal Run at the 2024 USATF Masters 12 Km Championships Hosted by USATF-NJ's 'By Hook Or By Crook' Run Photo Credit: Jason Timochko    

Huggins, in turn, encountered no serious threat to her taking the silver medal. It was 400 meters further back to Aspholm and then another 500 meters to Marzulla. It was 1-2-3 for the Garden State teammates, a great day! Marzulla ran tough. Her 54:05 was solid under the conditions but was not fast enough to break up the Garden State trio.

Hortencia Aliaga 47:51     Kathy Huggins 51:09     Kim Aspholm 52:19

55-59 Bayly not only won this division last year, she finished fifth overall, and achieved top ten in age grading. Bayly entered the strong favorite. At the Ten Mile Championships in Flint, Bayly was off her best due to a recurrence of vertigo, which has occasionally troubled her. Even so she finished 2nd in the division and was well inside the top 10 women in age grading. Here again it was not as good an outing as Bayly is used to. But almost anyone else would be pleased as punch! She took it out strong, slowed a bit in miles 5 and 6 and recovered a bit to bring it home. Bayly enjoyed a bigger margin of victory this year than last. When Bayly crossed the finish line in first, the next division athlete still had a half mile to go. 

Fiona Bayly flies to the Finish Line and her Women's 55-59 Gold Medal at the 2024 USATF Masters 12 Km Championships Hosted by USATF-NJ's 'By Hook Or By Crook' Run Photo Credit: Jason Timochko     

Lori Kingsley Willow Street AC finished second to Bayly last year and repeated the feat this year. Laura Delea Shore AC was underprepared for this race but her general fitness and competitiveness enabled her to have a successful race. Last year she did not compete; two years ago, Delea was 9th in 56:52. This year Delea ran over a minute faster than that, finishing third in the division. Anabelle Broadbent Greater Philadelphia TC was fourth in 57:41.

Fiona Bayly 48:02     Lori Kingsley 51:45     Laura Delea 54:57

60-64 Normally when an athlete finishes second in age grading, I can write that they thoroughly dominated their division. La Burt Shore AC rarely gets that treatment, not because she fails to run blazingly fast. After all, she also broke the American Record. It is because Mary Cass Liberty AC, in the same division, also runs very fast. Before La Burt entered the division, it was Cass who was winning the division. But this was about as dominant for La Burt as it has been. In many races over the last year, Cass was able to stay close to La Burt. This was not one of those times. Cass ran well but found herself slipping backwards from la Burt. La Burt enjoyed this victory with two and a half minutes to spare. Cass had no trouble staying well ahead of all others, taking the silver medal with a cushion of over four minutes. 

Mary Cass strides to the finish line, earning her Silver Medal in Women's 60-64 and her Bronze Age Grading Championships Medal Overall at the 2024 USATF Masters 12 Km Championships Hosted by USATF-NJ's 'By Hook Or By Crook' Run Photo Credit: Jason Timochko


Donna Grocki Shore AC in her first race at these championships ran well, finishing ahead of three strong runners, Mary Swan Greater Philadelphia, Suzanne Cordes Impala Racing, and Amanda King Liberty AC, 4th, 5th, and 6th in that order.

Suzanne La Burt  48:42     Mary Cass 51:18      Donna Grocki 55:24

65-69 Cary, tops in age grading, did get to dominate her division. She won by over five 70-74minutes! That is despite Candace Stanton running very well. Stanton had the fastest second place time in the last three years. 

Candace Stanton won the Silver Medal in Women's 65-69 at the 2024 USATF Masters 12 Km Championships Hosted by USATF-NJ's 'By Hook Or By Crook' Run Photo Credit: Jason Timochko 

But Cary is unstoppable right now. As noted above, it is her second consecutive 100%+ age grade PLP. And at the 10 Km Masters Championships in late April, her PLP was 99.81! Diane Rothman and Hilary Fandel battled for the bronze medal, finishing just 11 seconds apart. Fandel went out faster and enjoyed a 50-meter lead over Rothman at the 1.5 mile mark. But Rothman made good use of the early energy saved. She moved past Fandel much later in the race and made her lead hold all the way to the finish line. Rothman took the bronze medal with just 40 meters back to Fandel in 4th. It was an incredible race from Cary and a very strong race for the silver medalist, Stanton.

Nora Cary 51:45     Candace Stanton 56:53    Diane Rothman 59:48

70-74 This division featured a New Jersey rivalry playing itself out on the national stage, and one of the closest division races of the day. Marybeth Campau Raritan Valley Road Runners and Roberta Geist Morris County Striders ran much of the race within sight of one another. At the 1.5 mile mark, Campau had a stride or two on Geist but that was all. When the finish line was in sight, Campeau had more in the tank. Geist had stayed close to Campau but could not close. Campau enjoyed the victory with 40 meters to spare. 

Marybeth Campau heads for the finish line and the Gold Medal in Women's 70-74, with Roberta Geist, silver medalist in background, at the 2024 USATF Masters 12 Km Championships Hosted by USATF-NJ's 'By Hook Or By Crook' Run Photo Credit: Jason Timochko 


Geist's teammate, Debra Bernstein Morris County Striders finished third 17 minutes later. Campau's teammate, Roseann SvihraRaritan Valley Road Runners, was just a minute and a half back in fourth.

Marybeth Campau 1:22:19     Roberta Geist 1:22:37     Debra Bernstein 1:39:18

75-79 Bonnie Brunish Raritan Valley Road Runners had a birthday and, all of a sudden, found herself alone in her new age division. Last year she finished fifth in 70-74. 

Bonnie Brunish strides gleefully to the finish line, earning her Gold Medal for winning the Women's 80-84 Division at the 2024 USATF Masters 12 Km Championships Hosted by USATF-NJ's 'By Hook Or By Crook' Run Photo Credit: Jason Timochko

This year she won the gold medal in 75-79!

Bonnie Brunish 1:32:29

80-84 No entries.

85-89 Sandra Folzer won the 80-84 championship in 2022, defeating the celebrated Masters athlete, Heide Moebius by four minutes. Last year Folzer was unchallenged for the 80-84 championship, winning in a slower time than the year before. Even though she was unchallenged in 85-89 this year, Folzer dropped her time back down to within 17 seconds of her 2022 time, a very nice accomplishment. 

Sandra Folzer heads for the finish line, an American Record, and her third consecutive Age Division Championship, this time in Women's 85-89. At the 2024 USATF Masters 12 Km Championships Hosted by USATF-NJ's 'By Hook Or By Crook' Run Photo Credit: Jason Timochko

She claimed her third consecutive 12 Km national title.

Sandra Folzer 1:24:42

TEAM CHAMPIONSHIPS Note: Team score is the sum of the times for the first three athletes on each team. Teams may have up to 5 members on the team. Numbers four and five are for 'insurance.' One or more of the top three may not make it to the event after all or may show up with less fitness than expected or have an injury flare up during the race.

WOMEN 40+ Last year the Garden State Track Club took top honors, with Shore AC in second place. The West Valley Track Club from the San Francisco Bay area claimed the bronze medals. It was a different landscape this year. West Valley did not make the coast-to-coast trip this year. Garden State and Shore AC were back but each had just one carryover member from last year. Jessica Francis landed first for Shore at 45:53. A half minute later, Maria Mahoney and Elizabeth Wakeling answered for Garden State at 46:32 and 46:46. When Karen dos Santos came across the line for Shore in 49:59, GSTC enjoyed a lead of 2:34. Gaden State knew their third runner would not be in for a while; Shore knew their third runner would not be in for a long while. Janelle Jamison closed off the scoring for Garden State at 55:54. Since they had been ahead with two runners in, that gave Garden State the win. Aransas Savas finished at 1:12:12 for Shore. That closed the door on Fleet Feet/Essex Racing who had high hopes of the silver medals until then. It was GSTC with the win, Shore in 2nd and Fleet Feet third. Raritan Valley Road Runners were 4th, followed by Clifton Roadrunners.

Garden State Track Club M Mahoney, E Wakeling, J Jamison 2:29:12 49:44 average

Shore AC J Francis, K dos Santos, A Savas 2:48:04 56:01.33

Fleet Feet/Essex Racing C Stanton, H Fandel, S Spitaletta, C Ramirez 3:07:00 1:02:20

50+ Last year Garden State edged Shore for the win by less than a minute. Willow Street finished third, a little under 2 minutes ahead of Greater Philadelphia. Neither Willow Street nor Greater Philadelphia were able to send complete teams this year. Garden State returned with their top two runners. Shore would counter with their 2-3 runners from last year. It was no contest. As noted in the Age Division section above, Garden State took the top three spots in W50, with Shore scoring after that. It was the same story for the silver medals. Shore had three runners in before the first runner for Raritan Valley

Garden State Track Club H Aliaga, K Huggins, K Aspholm G Panepinto 2:31:19 50:26.33 average

Shore AC A Marzulla, L Delea, A Puma, M Massell 2:45:18 55:06

Raritan Valley RR K S Feder, J Miller, W Rieger 3:04:36 1:01:32

60+ In 2023, Shore AC and Liberty AC had a tight race, not decided until the #3 runner for Shore  finished. Shore had the same cast back and Liberty had only their top runner back. It was not as close this year. Suzanne La Burt scored first for Shore at 48:42 and was followed by Liberty's #1, Mary Cass. But rather than going back and forth after that, it was all Shore. Nora Cary and Donna Grocki were able to finish before Liberty's #2 runner. This year Shore enjoyed a winning margin of almost 16 minutes. Liberty had no problem holding onto second. Cass, Amanda King and Mary McNulty were all able to finish before Shore's B team got a runner across the line. But Kim Hart, Susan Stirrat, Luz Ravines, and Leslie Nowicki all scored for Shore 'B' ahead of the entire Morris +County Striders team. Shore went 1-3 with A and B.

Shore AC 'A' S La Burt, N Cary, D Grocki, D Rothman 2:35:51 51:57 average

Liberty AC M Cass, A King, M McNulty 2:51:47 57:15.67

Shore AC 'B' K Hart, S Stirrat, L Ravines, L Nowicki 3:18:47 1:06:15.67

70+ Last year, Team Red Lizard flew in from Oregon to contest this division. The Raritan Valley Road Runners had this division all to themselves this year. Marybeth Campau, Bonnie Brunish and Roseann Svihra scored the win for Raritan Valley.

Raritan Valley Road Runners M Campau, B Brunish, R Svihra 4:35:37 1:31:52.33 average

MEN 40+ Last year Garden State entered two strong teams. Their 'A' team enjoyed the victory. Shore AC worked hard to get in ahead of the GSTC 'B' team. Garden State had just one team this year but it was strong. The 'A' team's first four runners, Brian Flynn, Fabian Eduardo Daza, Joseph Gaynor and Aaron Totten-Lancaster arrived at the finish line before the #1 runner of any other 40+ team. And the 'A' team's fifth runner, John Hogan finished ahead of all but one runner from any other scoring team. GSTC 'A' had the win. Then it was a battle between Fleet Feet/Essex Racing and Shore. Shore's Joe Maranzani scored at 46:52. Ten seconds later it was Essex Racing's Donny Santos crossing the line. A minute and a half later, Essex's Brian Rock arrived five seconds before Shore's Christopher Whitehead, cutting Shore's lead in half! With just 5 seconds between the two teams it was likely that whichever team scored next would be the winner. And that is how it ended! A minute later, Essex Racing's Glen Freyer finished 28 seconds ahead of Shore's Daniel Campbell. Fleet Feet/Essex and Shore went 2-3 ahead of Clifton and Raritan.

Garden State Track Club B Flynn, F Daza, J Gaynor, A Totten-Lancaster, J Hogan 2:00:34 40:11.33 average

Fleet Feet/Essex Racing D Santos, B Rock, G Freyer, C Slaughter, H Del Bove 2:25:46 48:28.67

Shore AC J Maranzani, C Whitehead, D Campbell, A Yearsley 2:25:49 48:36.33

50+ Last year, the Atlanta Track Club, the Genesee Valley Harriers and the Greater Springfield Harriers all brought in teams to contest this division. The Atlanta team was strong enough to snatch the title from Garden State, with Freedom-Garmin Runners third. This year was different. GSTC did not enter a team in 50+. Atlanta brought a strong team again. But GVH and Greater Springfield brought 'Let's just get some Grand Prix points' teams that were not truly competitive for the podium. To be fair, Greater Springfield was actually in the lead after their two top runners, Mark Hixson and Nat Larson crossed the finish line. But they knew that Francis Burdett was there simply to be sure that GSH scored some GP points. Burdett had hip surgery earlier this year and has not resumed full workouts yet, although he has done the prescribed mix walk/run workouts to ramp back up safely. Burdett loves to race and this gave him an opportunity to do so in a controlled way. In the battle for first between Atlanta and Shore, Fred Dolan got Atlanta on the board first at 44:09. Three minutes and a bit later, Jeff Conston answered as Shore's #1 runner. A half minute later, Brian Sydow came across for Atlanta, to be answered another half minute later by Shore's Ken Ginsburg. A minute later, Atlanta's Christophe Cadiou crossed seven seconds ahead of Shore's #3, Joe Gambescia. That did it, Atlanta enjoyed the win with a four-minute cushion. The Clifton Roadrunners have not often had a competitive 50+ team. Last year they finished seventh, over 19 minutes behind Atlanta. But they added a strong runner in the #2 position and gave Shore a real battle for the silver medals. Luis Absalon led the way, giving Clifton an initial lead of just over a minute. A minute later, Shore's Ginsburg gouged 21 seconds out of that lead by coming in ahead of Clifton's Mark Snyder. Shore's Gambescia got the rest of it back by finishing a minute ahead of Clifton's #3, Hugo Vadillo. Clifton clinched the last podium spot by having a tighter three-pack than the New Jersey Pacers Run Club. Vadillo finished five minutes ahead of the Pacers' #3 athlete, providing Clifton's winning margin of four minutes. The Pacers were followed by Greater Springfield, Shore 'B', Clifton 'B', GVH, and Morris County Striders, in that order.

Atlanta Track Club F Dolan, B Sydow, C Cadiou 2:21:48 47:16.00 average

Shore Athletic Club 'A' J Conston, K Ginsburg, J Gambescia, J Demetrick 2:25:50 48:36.67

Clifton Road Runners 'A' L Absalon, M Snyder, H Vadillo, N Joannidis 2:26:02 48:40.67

60+ Last year the Ann Arbor Track Club brought a pretty strong team from Michigan. Atlanta brought a stronger one from Georgia, and the home team, the Shore Athletic Club, had the strongest team. This year Ann Arbor was missing their #1 runner but had a tighter #1 through #3 pack than last year. With a revitalized Ken Youngers leading the way, Atlanta brought a very strong team, even if Lester Dragstedt was not quite at full speed. Rick Lee is no longer on the Shore AC 60+ team, a big loss. When Henry Notaro, their new #1, also could not make it to the race, Shore was struggling; they entered a tight group of very solid runners, but they lacked the ability to post a top time. Just 44 seconds apart, Youngers and Dragstedt put Atlanta on the board first. They had two runners in with a combined total of 1:34:56. A long minute later, Harold Porcher answered for the Garden State Track Club, four seconds ahead of Mike Mertens of GVH. Ten seconds later, Rich Power finished for Ann Arbor, with his teammate, Larry Saks next, just 27 seconds later. That gave Ann Arbor two runners in at 1:39:15, four minutes and change behind Atlanta. The next two runners to finish, scored for Atlanta, Casey Hannan and Greg Oshust. Had Hannan not slammed the door shut on the other teams, Oshust would have. Shore struck next, bringing Carl Gensib, Kevin Dollard, and Donald Schwartz across the finish line in quick succession, with less than a minute between #1 and #3. Now Shore had a complete scoring team in with a total of 2:38:54. Ann Arbor needed their #3 runner, Ward Freeman, to finish inside 59:39. When the clock ticked past 58 minutes, there was time for Ann Arbor to worry...but only for 23 seconds. That is when Freeman crossed the line, delivering the mail for Ann Arbor. Their final total was 16 seconds faster than Shore. They had the silver medals! Shore was happy to keep a spot on the podium. They wound up keeping GVH off the podium by 1:07. After GVH in fourth, it was Garden State, Shore 'B', and Clifton.

Atlanta Track Club K Youngers, L Dragstedt, C Hannan, G Oshust, M Anderson 2:26:01 48:40.33

Ann Arbor Track Club R Power, L Sak, W Freeman, P Carlin, M Mester 2:37:38 52:32.67

Shore Athletic Club C Gensib, K Dollard, D Scwartz, M Hersey 2:38:54 52:58

70+ Last year it was Atlanta leading the way, followed by Greater Philadelphia, Shore, GVH and Ann Arbor.  Atlanta's top two runners from last year were absent. That made it tougher for them. Greater Philadelphia was missing their #1 runner from last year but enjoyed a solid replacement, sliding in as either #1 or #2. But they also were the only complete team to include someone from the 80-84 division in their top 3. Shore had the latest and greatest version of Reno Stirrat leading the way. That cemented the home team's edge. Stirrat came across the line first. He was followed a minute and a half later by GPTC's 1-2 punch of Fernando Moura and Don Morrison, crossing the line just five seconds apart. But they knew it would be a while before their octogenarian teammate could finish. Five minutes later, Peter Auteri gave Shore their 2nd score, 12 seconds ahead of Atlanta's #1, Ward Irvin. A minute later, Jerry Learned gave Atlanta their 2nd scoring runner. They were well behind Shore and Greater Philadelphia. The next runner is was Shore's Ken Wilson, closing off their scoring at 2:54:27. If Greater Philadelphia's #3 could cross the finish line before 1:05:22 they would claim the win. It is not an impossible task and Tom Jennings is a strong runner. The Masters Hall of Fame runner, Doug Goodhue, admittedly with better weather, ran 1:02;42 last year. Still, it was a very tall order. Jennings almost got it done. When the clock ticked past 1:05:30, Shore knew they had the win. Jennings crossed the line in time to give GPTC the silver medals, though! Atlanta enjoyed the bronze medal and the 80 Grand Prix team points. Shore's 'B' team finished fourth.

Shore Athletic Club R Stirrat, P Auteri, K Wilson, B Bosmann 2:54:27 58:09

Greater Philadelphia Track Club F Moura, D Morrison, T Jennings 2:57:03 59:01

Atlanta Track Club W Irvin, J Learned, A Joyce, P Taylor, S Benedict 3:14.33 1:04:51

That takes care of the team contests. Garden State had the most overall success, winning two divisions in the Women's contests and one in the Men's. Shore AC had two wins, in W60+ and M70+, as did Atlanta, in M50+ and M60+. Raritan Valley claimed the W70+ title.

The final stop in this stretch of longer distance masters national championships is the Half Marathon in Indianapolis. Beyond Monumental and the Indiana Sports Corporation partnered to bring an exciting One Mile Masters Championship to Indianapolis. Now they are partnering on this endeavor. The event will be hosted at the Indy Half Marathon at Fort Ben on October 5th. Details are here.




Saturday, September 14, 2024

Masters Athletes Head to the Jersey Shore Again for the USATF National 12 Km Championships!

 September 13, 2024 

The second road race of the fall Masters Grand Prix season is this Sunday, September 15th in Highlands NJ. Athletes contest the 12 Km Championships on the roads of Sandy Hook National Gateway and Recreation Area. Four American Records were broken here in the last three years. Overall, age grading, age division and team championships are at stake. Those who are comfortable running in warm temperatures with a touch of humidity will have the edge. Beautiful weather for the beach, but the weather a week ago was more comfortable for a road race. With the 9 AM start time, apparently the earliest allowed by the National Park Service, it will be sunny, with temperatures near 70F at the start, and a dewpoint in the low to mid 60's. Hydration will be important.

OVERALL NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIPS

WOMEN Roberta Groner looms as the Women’s overall favorite. Top American Marathon finisher at the Doha World Championships, Groner knows about running in warm conditions! She won here three years ago with a fast 42:14 and has not slowed down. This summer she cracked a 34:01 10K in winning the Queens 10K in New York. Elizabeth Wakeling, who finished third here last year in 46:44, will try to deny Groner the win. Her 1:02:41 outing at the Garden State Ten Miler in March and her 38:03 at the Essex County Cherry Blossom 10K show that she is ready to turn in another fast time. Karen Bertasso ran two sub-1:19 half marathons in 2023 if it is the same person. A 38-year-old Bertasso from Fort Collins CO ran a 1:17:49 at the 3M Half Marathon in Austin TX in January 2023. That Bertasso could be 40 now. Three months later a 38-year-old Bertasso from Selkirk NY, who could also be 40 now, ran 1:18:34 at the Druthers Helderberg to Hudson HM. If either of those are the Bertasso who will line up at Sandy Hook on Sunday, she could well have the fitness to crack 44 minutes on a good day. Sarah Bishop stopped the 2018 Yuengling Shamrock Half Marathon clock at 1:16:40, finishing 3rd. That is a faster time, but it was six years ago. She ran in the 2023 USATF Masters Half Marathon Championships at Syracuse in 2023. That was an unseasonably warm day and a hilly course; she finished fourth overall in 1:23:17. On a flat course on a cooler day, Bishop would have been closer to 1:20. That suggests a time under 46 on a good day should be possible for Bishop. Bishop will be in the mix but should not be a threat to Groner. Groner looks likely to win again. After that it should be close among Bertasso, Bishop and Wakeling, with that possibly being the finishing order. We shall find out on Sunday.

Likely Podium Contenders in Alphabetical Order

Karen Bertasso     Sarah Bishop     Roberta Groner

MEN The defending champion is back! Brian Flynn burned up the pavement last year with a 39:01 effort! His 1:11:17 at the Ashland Half Marathon in Virginia last month shows that he is fit. Had Mario Vazquez not shown up on the entry list late last week, I was prepared to install Flynn as the strong favorite for a repeat win. After Vazquez won the 2023 Masters 10 Km Championships overall in 31:50, New England Runner started referring to him as 'Super Mario!' He came back in 2024 and ran even faster, 31:02, but ran into the buzzsaw of Joseph Gray, a newly minted Masters athlete and former World Mountain Running champion, who cracked 31 minutes to win. Two months after that race he clocked 1:07:43 at the Fairfield Half Marathon in Connecticut, following that up in August with a 1:10:26 at the Ocean Beach HM in honor of John Kelley, of Boston Marathon fame. Vazquez will be tough to beat! If he has a really good day, Vazquez could even threaten the seemingly unassailable 45-49 AR of 37:17, held for the last dozen years by the great Masters runner, Mbarak HusseinFabian Daza, who finished fourth here last year in 40:02, is also ready to challenge; he clocked 1:10:54 at the Jersey City Half Marathon in April. David Angell has had two top ten finishes here in the past when he was battling a gimpy ankle. With that healed, he claimed a podium spot at the Masters 10 Km Championships last year in 33:00 and just finished second at the Masters Ten Mile Championships in Flint Michigan. His 55:09 on the hilly course at Crim suggests he can run close to 40 flat over 12K on a good day. Dickson Mercer, sixth last year, was fifth this year at the 10 Km Masters Championships in 32:54 and had a nifty 2nd Masters finish of 53:17 at the prestigious, and fast, Cherry Blossom Ten Mile in Washington DC. Those both point to sub-40 possibilities on a 12K course. Michael Dixon and Joseph Gaynor, who finished seventh and eighth here last year, in 40:45 and 41:13 will try to move up. Sanjay Rawal finished 2nd at the 2023 Masters Half Marathon Championships. That 1:14:46 would have been faster on a cooler day and a flatter course. He could well break 41 minutes. He ran 2:45:28 at Boston this year. Aaron Totten-Lancaster finished 6th here last year in 41:34. His 56:50 at the Garden State Ten Miler earlier this spring and his August 16:39 at the Asbury Park 5K suggested he was coming in with the same or better fitness. A last-minute argument with his Achilles seems to have been resolved. It looks like Vazquez is the fellow to beat, with Flynn right in there. After that it is a tougher call. Most likely it is a battle between Daza and Mercer for the bronze, with Mercer possibly enjoying a slight edge. But with a loaded field like this, one of the others could always win the day!

Likely Podium Contenders in Alphabetical Order

Brian Flynn    Dickson Mercer     Mario Vazquez

AGE DIVISION NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIPS

MEN 40-44 Flynn and Mercer are from this age group as is Daza. See Overall section above for details. That gives me those three and a likely order of Vazquez-Flynn-Daza. That is not to say that Dixon and/or Gaynor are going to roll over and let them have it!

Podium Contenders in Alphabetical Order

Fabian Daza     Brian Flynn    Dickson Mercer

45-49 Angell, Rawal, and Totten-Lancaster would constitute a terrific 45-49 podium. Unfortunately for them, they share the division with the Overall favorite, Vazquez, also the likely winner of this division. Angell, Rawal and Totten-Lancaster come in with similar potential. That will be a battle and any one of the three could easily win it. Given the slight argument with his Achilles, I will leave Totten-Lancaster off the predicted podium and let him prove me wrong with a strong run on Sunday!

Likely Podium Contenders in Alphabetical Order

David Angell     Sanjay Rawal      Mario Vazquez

50-54 A last minute entry by David Guzik has churned up this division. Until that, I had Frederick Dolan, dubbed 'Fast Freddie' by some teammates, as the favorite. Dolan comes in fresh from an M50 silver medal at the Masters 10 Mile Championships in Flint, MI. His 1:00:46 on that hilly course suggests he should be ready to crack 46 minutes and that seemed to be enough for a win. But Duzik comes in fresh from an M50 win, on Labor Day, at the Faxon Law 20K in New Haven. His 1:14:21 there translates into a sub-44-minute effort on a similar 12 K course and day. That is strong enough to move him into the favorite's role. But if Guzik runs more like his day at the June Faxon Law Fairfield Half Marathon where he took the division in 1:21:26, it is likely that Dolan can hang with him over 12K, and then it could be a duel to the finish. Others who have a good shot at making the podium include Dolan's teammate, Brian Sydow. After a couple of years of less active participation, Sydow is now back as an important contributor to his team. Sydow finished -within a half-minute of Dolan at the Masters 5 Km Championships. There was a bigger gap at Dedham over 10 Km, but Sydow still turned in a top ten finish in the division at 38:32. That suggests Sydow is probably primed for a 47-minute or better effort over 12K. Sydow will have to battle Luis Absalon, who finished fifth here last year in 45:31. Absalon's efforts this winter and spring, a 1:04:21 at the Super Sunday 10 Miler in February and a 59:35 15K at the Spring Distance Classic, are also consistent with a 47-minute 12 K effort. Overall, I would go with Guzik over Dolan and then Absalon and Sydow close with, perhaps, a slight edge to Absalon for his fast top 5 finish on this course last year.

Likely Podium Contenders in Alphabetical Order

Luis Absalon     Frederick Dolan      David Guzik

55-59 Brian Crowley returns as the defending champion and favorite. His 42:32 not only gave him the 55-59 win, but his 42:31 chip time gave him a top 5 age grading finish. Crowley's 55:38 15K at the Spring Distance Classic in April shows that his fitness was still strong this spring. In June he ran 17:31 at the Fitzgerald Lager 5K, another piece of evidence in favor of his being likely to crank out a similar 12K time this year as last year. Mark Hixson finished third last year, just 41 seconds behind Crowley. Hixson has been focusing on shorter races recently. But his 36:31 M55 silver medal effort at the 10 Km Championships stands out. His 29:01 at the Brantford 5 Miler in mid-June adds to the impression that he might be able to stay with Crowley. Hixson's last three summer 5K's were 17:58, 17:43 and 17:23. Could be a race! Interestingly, both Crowley and Hixson are in their last year in the age division. Shane Anthony is one of the new kids on the block, just 55. He can stay with Crowley and Hixson and may be able to beat them. His 57:04 at the Credit Union Cherry Blossom Ten Miler in D.C. in April equates to something like a 42-minute or better 12K. Anthony finished 2nd at Cross Nationals in Richmond VA this January. He cracked a 17:11 5K in March. Looks like it could be a three-way race! Scott Siriano finished fourth here last year in 45:31, a minute and change behind Hixson. This spring, Siriano clocked 37:40 to finish 6th at the Masters 10 Km Championships. He finished 5th last month at the 10 Mile Championships with a 1:04:56. Siriano is always dangerous, a consistent high performer; it would take a superlative effort for him to make the podium. A newcomer to the 12K, Carlos Nunes could make some noise. His record matches up well with Siriano's although not at national championships. He ran a 37:20 10K at the Ridgewood Run in June. Back in February, he clocked 1:04:22 at the Super Saturday 10 Mile Run. It looks like a real barn burner between Anthony, Crowley and Hixson for 1-2-3. But do not count either Nunes or Siriano out. On a given day, either could pull the upset and wind up in the top three. The champ is the champ until someone beats him, so I give Crowley the edge going in. After that is anyone's guess. But I will give Hixson a slight edge for knowing the course and having performed well on it last year. Anthony can have the incentive of trying to prove me wrong on race day!

Likely Podium Contenders in Alphabetical Order

Shane Anthony     Brian Crowley      Mark Hixson

60-64 Everyone expected Henry Notaro to show up on the entry list as one of the hometown favorites, along with Rick Lee and he finally did. On the same day, Nat Larson's name appeared. Larson, Lee, and Notaro finished 1st, 2nd and fourth in the division last year, at 42:26, 43:35 and 44:17. Larson enters the favorite. He holds every M60 American Record from the Mile to the Half Marathon. He took the win at Dedham over 10K in April at 34:59, finishing well over a minute ahead of Lee. Last year he won here, a minute ahead of Lee. Notaro was another minute back. Based on that history, it seems easy to say it should be Larson-Lee-Notaro for 1-2-3. But there are some wrinkles. I cannot find any results for Larson since late April. That is a little uncharacteristic although; to be honest, Larson does not compete in a lot of road races over the summer. In 2022 he competed at WMA Outdoors, but he did not compete this year. The question is whether Larson was just taking a well-earned break or was he perhaps rehabbing some niggling injury. For now, I presume he is here to compete at the front of the division and contend for a top age grading award as he typically does. Lee is not coming in quite as solidly as last year. He has had an up and down late summer, with some niggling issues with a calf. Lee is a tough runner, though. Despite that calf issue, he still ran 37:07 on a tough 10K course at WMA in Sweden last month. The calf, and racing in so many events, forced him to pull the plug three miles into the Half Marathon on the final day. Having said that, he still ran the Fifth Avenue Mile in early September, clocking 5:19. His enthusiasm for racing can, seemingly, overcome almost anything. Notaro, on the other hand, is coming in off a nice 3rd place finish at the USATF Masters 10 Mile Championship on August 24th. His 1:03:22 equates to a 46:26 12 Km effort on an equally challenging course, and probably faster on a flat course like at Sandy Hook. Lester Dragstedt finished5th at the 12K here last year and was 4th at the Masters 10 Km Championships this spring, at the end of April. Had he not incurred a stress fracture in late May, it is likely that Dragstedt could have tested the leading trio. Although he was able to break 19 minutes in the 5000M at WMA, it will probably be a while before he can challenge for a podium in this highly competitive division. There are several others who can break 50 but it seems unlikely that any of them will finish much under 47 minutes. With the information at hand it seems unwise to pick any other order than Larson-Lee-Notaro. Given the up-and-down nature of Lee's last month of racing, he is less certain than in the recent past.

Likely Podium Contenders in Alphabetical Order

Nat Larson     Rick Lee      Henry Notaro

65-69 This will be Jay Littlepage's first national championship in the 65-69 division. He has, perhaps, the strongest credentials coming in. He finished fifth at the USATF Masters 10 Km Championships at the end of April in 38:58. In June, Littlepage clocked a 1:34:17 at the Steamboat Half marathon at latitude. A better indicator might be his 1:28:41 at the Livermore Half Marathon in March of this year. That course is not flat but it is not at altitude. He will have to get past Ken Youngers, who won M65 at the 2022 10 Km Championships in 37:48. Youngers' results have been a bit more variable since then. He did not compete in the 10Km championships in 2023; this spring he finished 2nd in M65 there at 40:34. That was slower than Littlepage's effort on that day. But Youngers is coming off a fine second place effort on the hilly Crim course in Flint Mi for the USATF Masters 10 Mile Championships. His 1:05:00 there suggests he can give Littlepage a good battle if he can match his Flint effort. It should be a fun outing for those two! John Blaser, Kevin Dollard, and Carl Gensib appear to be the fastest runners in the hunt for the final podium spot. Blaser finished 4th in M60 at Dedham in the 10 Km Championships, a minute and a half behind Youngers. He finished fourth again at the ten mile championships in Flint three weeks ago, in 1:10:19. Dollard finished 47 seconds behind Blaser at Dedham but was only a single second behind him at the 10 Mile in Flint. All four times suggest that both can run somewhere in the 51-52-minute range for a 12K. Will it be third times the charm for Dollard or will Blaser maintain his edge? And what about Gensib? Last year he ran in the USATF-NJ side of the race, clocking 51:12. His 1:32:04 at the Jersey Shore HM, in early October 2023, converts to a 50:51 12K. But before one concludes that Gensib seems to be a favorite over Blaser and Dollard, we see that Gensib ran nearly ten minutes slower at the Princeton HM in November 2023. All we can say again is that it looks like a heck of a race...may the best runner win! Since I have to pick one of them to add to the likely podium contenders, I will go with Blaser and Dollard over Gensib because of more national championships experience, and then with Blaser. He has been just a bit faster than Dollard. The Champs the champ until shown not to be.

Likely Podium Contenders in Alphabetical Order

John Blaser     Jay Littlepage      Ken Youngers

70-74 Joe Reda won the M70 10Km championships this year in 42:38 but Reno Stirrat was just a little over a half minute behind him in fifth place. It was closer at the 10 Mile championships in Flint where Reda's fourth place effort in 1:12:37 was just two seconds faster than Stirrat's fifth place finish. Not far back from those two are Don Morrison, Fernando Moura, and Eugene Myers. Just as Reda and Stirrat seem poised to battle for the win, these three are poised to vie for the bronze medal. Morrison was just 15 seconds behind Stirrat and 54 seconds behind Reda at the 10 Km Championships. Morrison won the M70 division here in Sandy Hook in 2021 with a 54:48. At the 10 Mile championships, Morrison was two minutes behind that duo. Myers was 40 seconds behind Morrison. His 1:08:51 15K that same month is consistent with the notion that Myers is close but a little behind Morrison right now. Morrison also had the edge at Cross Nationals in Richmond VA in January. Moura finished 3rd here at Sandy Hook in 52:02. Two years later, Moura probably cannot match that 52:02. But an age grading exercise suggests two years late that equates to something like a 53:21. His 1:39:27 Philadelphia Half Marathon converts to a 54:48, the same as Morrison's winning 2021 time. Based on that evidence, I give a slight edge to Moura but Morrison could certainly upset that guess. Myers will need a good day to get past both Morrison and Moura. I give a slight edge to Moura for the bronze and an edge to Reda over Stirrat.

Likely Podium Contenders in Alphabetical Order

Fernando Moura     Joe Reda     Reno Stirrat

75-79 This division is Jerry Learned's to lose. He finished third in this division in the Masters 10 Km Championships with his 46:35. No one else here has broken 50 minutes recently in a 10K. I, Paul Carlin, am the closest and I was not that close. I finished seventh in the division at Dedham in 51:33. Learned also finished 3rd in Atlanta in 23:35, well faster than anyone else entered in M75 this time. One could point to the lack of races longer than 10K in the last two years as raising a question. But 12Km is only 2 Km longer than a 10 Km. When healthy, Learned has had no difficulty in scaling his efforts up to a 15K. In 2022 on this course, he finished 5th in 70-74 in 55:54. He struggled the first half of 2023 with a health issue but once he got that sorted, he has run well. The evidence points to Carlin having the next best recent record coming in. Allen Joyce is not far off, but I have had the recent edge. In 2022, Joyce finished 8th in 70-74 in 1:01:25; I was 4th in 75-79 in 1:04:12. But in 2023 I ran faster, 1:02:19, partially due to the gentler weather in 2023 and partly to better fitness. This year I was able to come in almost two minutes ahead of Joyce at Cross Nationals and 45 seconds ahead a month later at the 5 Km Championships in Atlanta. Since then, we have not met. The only race I can find for him since April is a 26:06 5K in Georgia that is roughly equivalent to what he was running in February. I have not only the 51:33 in Dedham, but a good winning effort at the hilly Beach to Beacon 10K in Maine, in early August, at 53:08. My 1:28:19 at the 10 Mile Championships three weeks ago was, in some ways my worst race ever. If I run like that again, Joyce has a good shot at coming in ahead of me. We should be the top three. Bruce Langenkamp who ran 1:05:43 here last year and clocked 55:57 at the Ridgewood Run 10K could threaten for the podium if the day goes his way. Przemek Nowicki is always dangerous. He has won national championships in the past and he has good leg speed if a race comes down to the finish. But he has had challenges recently and does not appear quite ready to challenge for the podium. He ran 1:09:19 at Sandy hook last year. This August he clocked 57:07 at the 10K road race at WMA in Sweden, a sign that he is regaining his fitness.

Likely Podium Contenders in Alphabetical Order

Paul Carlin     Allen Joyce     Jerry Learned

80-84 Jan Frisby is the favorite but he has to get by Tom Jennings. Frisby ran 51:57 at the 10 Km Masters championship this April. That equates to something like a 1:03:12. Unfortunately he has been coping with a strained glute since May. He had to skip some track races at WMA where he had hoped to compete. He did run in the 10 Km Road race but could only manage a 57:33. Frisby is coming with the goal of finishing in the top three for the Grand prix points and protecting the glute. He does not want to strain the glute again, but he wants to raise his M80 GP point total closer to 500. Jennings has had a couple of good outings this spring, a 44:31 at the Spring Lake 5 Miler and a 1:29:36 at the fast Blue Cross Broad Street Ten Miler. Those equate roughly to a 12 Km effort in the 1:06 to 1:07 range. That is about where Frisby hopes to be as well.  Not far off those two is Edward Leydon who ran a 1:34:05 Ten Miler in Annapolis MD. That equates roughly to a 1:08-1:09 12 Km effort. It does not look like any of the other entrants can run under 1:20. If any of those top three has an off day, Tony Fiory, who ran 1:24:25 to finish 2nd in 80-84 here last year, is most likely to move up.

Likely Podium Contenders in Alphabetical Order

Jan Frisby     Tom Jennings    Edward Leydon

WOMEN 40-44 Bertasso, Bishop and Wakeling are mentioned prominently as contenders for the overall win, and they are all from this division. Hence, they are the favorites in this division. Jessica Francis ran 29:36 at the Belmar 5 Mile run last September and clocked a 1:22:31 half marathon in November at the Wildwood Beach Festival. Maria Mahoney ran a 39:21 10K at the Ridgewood Run and Whitney Heavner ran a 1:04:20 at the Credit Union Cherry Blossom 10 Miler in D.C. Any of those three could break onto the podium if any of the top three are not at their best.

Likely Podium Contenders in Alphabetical Order

Karen Bertasso     Sarah Bishop    Elizabeth Wakeling

45-49 Roberta Groner, favored to win the Overall race, is the favorite to take this 45-49 title as well. Jeanelle Jamison deserves the second mention. Her 1:31:29 half marathon at the Philadelphia Distance Run last September suggests a time around 50:00 should be possible for a 12K. Her 1:08:05 at the Blue Cross Broad Street 10 Mile Run this May confirms that suggestion. Natacha Smith's 44:35 at the Revolutionary Run 10K on the 4th of July and her 37:02 8K effort ten days later are consistent with a 54-56 minute 12K. She just added a 1:41:39 half marathon to her results. That is comparable to Alicia Eno's 1:41:06 at the Lincoln Half Marathon in May. That and her 4th place 45-49 finish, in 1:16:35, at the Masters Ten Mile Championships in Flint last month, both point to a 56-minute 12K. As both races are well over 12K, and the Crim course is hilly, and Eno is not a long-distance specialist per se, those may understate her potential for a fast 12K. If so, she should be primed to give Smith a battle for the bronze medal. With the exception of that potential duel between Eno and Smith, the order seems clearly to start with Groner and Jamison 1-2. If I have to choose between Eno and Smith I could give Eno the edge on the basis of her greater experience in Masters national championships or for running a half marathon a half minute faster.

Likely Podium Contenders in Alphabetical Order

Alicia Eno     Roberta Groner     Jeanelle Jamison

50-54 Hortencia Aliaga has upped her game this year. She enters as the favorite for the 12K. Aliaga was 7th overall and 1st in 45-49 last year in these 12 K championships with a 50:34. She gave an early indication of her improved fitness with a 38:55 10K at the Essex County Cherry Blossom Run. That equates roughly to a 47-minute 12K effort. At WMA this August she knocked that 10 K time down, even though I understand the course was challenging. Her bronze medal run in 38:09 converts to a low 46-minute 12K. Abby Dean has had more challenges over the last year and a half or so after running at the top of this division for a couple of years. She is just a little behind Aliaga right now. Dean finished 3rd in 50-54 at the 10 Km championships in 40:03 and then at WMA she finished about a minute behind Aliaga, finishing 5th. Alexandra Marzulla finished 6th here last year in 52:32. Three weeks ago she finished third again at a national championship, clocking 1:12:07 to claim the bronze medal at the ten miler in Flint. To run that time on a hilly course suggests Marzulla might have the fitness to run a faster 12 K this year. If any of those three are not at their best, one could make a case for any one of six athletes to break onto the podium. Kimberly Aspholm was 8th in 50-54 last year in 53:45. Her 44:22 at the Cherry Blossom 10K from this April converts to a similar time. If Polly Harrison can run as she did at the Runapalooza Half Marathon, clocking 1:37:48, she can likely run under 55 minutes at the 12K. Which Katherine Huggins will we see? The one who ran 1:39:07 at the Greenbrier HM in West Virginia in May or the one who ran 1:31:45 at the Celebration Half Marathon in Cleveland in July? If the latter, Huggins becomes the favorite for the bronze medal; if the former, she is just one of those in the hunt to pry Marzulla off the podium. Maria Narvaez, Gabrielle Panepinto, and Alysia Puma al have results consistent with mid-50 or better 12K's. For now, I leave Marzulla as a podium contender and let the others try to prove the list wrong on Sunday, if they can.

Likely Podium Contenders in Alphabetical Order

Hortencia Aliaga     Abby Dean     Alexandra Marzulla

55-59 Last year Fiona Bayly cracked the top 5 overall here and won the division in 47:34. She struggled a bit at the ten-mile championships but still enjoyed a silver medal in 1:07:27, consistent with a sub-50 minute 12K. And do not forget that Bayly clocked 1:24:32 to win this division at the UA NYC Half Marathon in March consistent with a 47-minute 12K. None of the other athletes in the division look likely to run that fast. In November of last year, Lori Kingsley ran a 1:04:04 15K at the Stockade-a-thon and followed that up with a 1:34:20 at the Race The Lake Half Marathon. They are consistent with a 51-52 minute or better 12K. There are three athletes poised to run somewhere between 57 and 59 minutes. Anabelle Broadbent finished 6th here last year in 57:36. Her 1:17:44 in the Blue Cross Broad Street 10 Mile Run this May confirmed that fitness. Maureen Massell finished 12th in the division at the 10 Km championships this year in 47:20, consistent with a 57 minute or so 12K. Her outing at the Ten Mile championships earned her a bronze W55 medal. The time is not as fast, but the Crim is a hilly course. Karyn Sable Feder finished 7th here in this division last year in 58:54. Laura Delea is a question mark. A top runner for years, Delea has had an up and down last couple of years. In 2022 when the weather was warm and humid, Delea clocked 56:52 at the 12 Km championships, finishing 9th in the division. A month later she ran 54:17 at the East Brunswick 15K. Last year she did not compete in the 12K. This year started off better with a silver 55-59 medal at Cross nationals in Richmond. This summer she has run a series of 5K's between 21:29 and 21:49. If she can scale that up, she could crack 55 minutes and be a threat for the podium. But it is not clear if she has been able to build up that kind of endurance. Bayly and Kingsley appear to be comfortable picks for 1-2. After that, I will go with Broadbent whose Sandy Hook outing last year and her longer ten mile run this year both confirm her fitness for a 47 minute 12K. But Massell, Sable Feder, or Delea could pull the upset. 

Likely Podium Contenders in Alphabetical Order

Anabelle Broadbent     Fiona Bayly     Lori Kingsley     

60-64 Suzanne La Burt won here last year in 49:12. At Dedham in April this year she won the 10K division championships in 40:58 and ran 12 seconds faster in June at the Citizens Queens 10K. But she really raise her game at the ten-mile championships when she won the division and finished 2nd in age grading. Her winning gun time of 1:05:23 converts to a 47:28 12K effort. That cements her as the favorite in this division. Mary Cass was the top runner in the division before La Burt aged up. Since then, she has been a close second often but has not yet found a way to come in ahead of La Burt. She was a little less than a minute behind la Burt in the 12K last year and a little over a minute behind La Burt in the 10K this year. Cass seems likely to run in the low 50-minute range again this year. Dana Blum ran 44:34 at the San Francisco Giant 10k last month, converting roughly to a low 53-minute 12K, probably not fast enough to challenge Cass. Blum does not run many races that are over 10Km, with the exception of Bay to Breakers which is more party than a race. Donna Grocki may be able to challenge Blum for the bronze medal on that basis. Grocki finished 7th here last year in 54:34. Grocki ran a 45:58 at the Philly 5K three weeks ago. It could go either way. La Burt and Cass going 1-2 seems a safe bet. I will go with Blum's speed over 10K to make the difference.

Likely Podium Contenders in Alphabetical Order

Dana Blum     Mary Cass    Suzanne La Burt    

65-69 Three years of 12 Km national championships on the Jersey Shore and three years of Nora Cary wining the 65-69 division. Her times have been 51:09, 54:10, and 52:35. She is riding the wave! Three weeks ago, Cary age graded over 100% with her win at the Masters 10 Mile championships with a 1:11:01, averaging 7:06 per mile! Just as Cary has a lock on 1st place, Candace Stanton looks to have a firm grip on the silver medal finish. She finished 2nd to Cary here last year in 56:02 and she has not let up. At the Spring Distance Classic this April, Stanton ran a 1:10:51 15K, which converts roughly to a 55:49. It appears that Diane Rothman may be the only other runner with a good shot at hitting the one hour mark. Her 1:16:36 15K at the Spring Distance Classic converts to a 1:00:21 12K. But Rothman will have to stay ahead of Lisa Vaughn who finished 7th at the 10 Km Championships last April with a 52:06 effort. She just came in fourth three weeks ago at the 10 Mile Championships in 1:26:39. Both convert roughly to low 1:03 12K's. The division is packed this year. Hilary Fandel, Kim Hart, and Susan Stirrat have all run recent 10K's almost as fast as Vaughn's. Cary and Stanton and Rothman look good for 1-2-3 but there is no room for an off day. The division is too strong this year.

Likely Podium Contenders in Alphabetical Order

Nora Cary     Diane Rothman    Candace Stanton   

70-74 In February 2023, Marybeth Campau ran a 31:19 5Km. If one converts that race to a 12Km time and adds a year of age, the calculator converts it to a 1:19:43. If that equivalence works, she has the fastest 'predicted' time coming in. But there is lots of uncertainty. Converting a 5K to a 12K is a lot easier on paper than it is in real life. In real life, you have to log the miles and do some speedier miles too. The other worry is no races, at least not ones I can easily find between then and now. The athletes who have been finishing just off the podium have their chance this year. The record-breakers are not here this year. Roberta Geist, who finished fourth last year in 1:23:49, returns this year as do the 6th and 7th place finishers, Debra Bernstein, 1:32:45, and Roseann Svihra, 1:36:37. Margaret McHale clocked 1:02:38 at the Spring Lake 5 Mi race this spring, coming in a couple of minutes ahead of Svihra. My guess is that Geist will move up and take the win this year. Exactly how to factor in Campau is a puzzle. Without her in the mix, I would probably put Bernstein and McHale as most likely for 2nd and 3rd. I will stick with that on the expectation that if Campau has taken time off, whether for injury or some other reason, her capacity to take on a 12 K is not what it was a year and a half ago. But I will not be surprised to see her on the podium either.

Likely Podium Contenders in Alphabetical Order

Debra Bernstein     Roberta Geist    Margaret McHale

75-79 Bonnie Brunish finished 5th here in 70-74 last year with a 1:25:14. Her 1:55:21 15K in the Spring Distance Classic this past April suggests her fitness may be slightly off. But it will not matter whether that is so or not. She is not in a new age division, one that attracted only Brunish as an entrant. She must finish, not necessarily easy on a sunny, humid day by the sea. But she is ready and will be on the podium at the end of the morning, no doubt!

85-89 There is a wrinkle to that 75-79 story in this division. Sandra Folzer finished 2nd in 80-84 in 2021, running 1:21:00. She took the gold medal in the division the next two years in 1:24:15, 2022, and in 1:28:10 last year. Folzer goes for her third gold in a row. But this year she has no rivals. Like Brunish in 75-79, Folzer's main task is to finish. There is little doubt that she will do so and will stand tall on the podium at the end of the morning tomorrow.

AGE GRADING NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIPS

Age Grading is an exercise that rates each runner against the World's Best performance for that precise year of age. If the World's Best 12K performance for a 60-year-old male was 40 minutes for example, and a 60-year-old ran 50 minutes, his performance level percentage PLP, would be (40/50) x 100, or 80%. The more I am around the sport, the less enamored am I of the association between 90% and above as World Class, 80% and above as 'national class'. Terms like 'World Class' and 'National Class' seem to suggest relative competitiveness. It appears that PLP levels vary across age groups and across genders. Yet there does not seem to be similar trends in terms of winning medals at world championships. More on this in a future post. There is no doubt that the top PLP's go to the fastest runners across age divisions, those who perform near the top of their age division whenever they are fit and healthy.

WOMEN In the Women’s contest, Nora Cary, 69, goes for two in a row. The winner at Flint with a score of 100.26 percent, Cary enters the favorite. Suzanne La Burt, 61, who finished 2nd to Cary in Flint at 97.27 percent, along with Groner46, Hortencia Aliaga, 52, Fiona Bayly, 57, and Mary Cass, 63, will make sure the winner has earned it! Last year Cary, Cass, and La Burt finished 2-3-5 in age grading here at the 12 km Championships. Their PLP's were: 97.7, 94.6, and 93.5. Bayly was at 92.1. Aliaga was down in the emid-80's but has, arguably, shown the most improvement. Aliaga’s 10K bronze medal at the World Masters Championships earned 90.33 percent. Three years ago, Groner's winning time of 42:14 at age 43 graded at 90.29%, good for 6th place. This year it appears she has a similar fitness. She is likely to see her PLP rise. Whether it will rise enough to make the podium this year is an open question. My guess is that we shall again see Cary, Cass and La Burt on the podium. Given the performance of La Burt at the 10 Mile championships, it may be that she can move up from 3rd to 2nd. We will find out tomorrow. 

Likely Podium Contenders in Alphabetical Order

Nora Cary     Mary Cass    Suzanne La Burt

MEN Nat Larson, who holds all the M60 American Road Records from the 1 Mile to the Half Marathon, will compete, once again. In my brief pre-race preview, written before registration closed, I thought, wrongly that Rick Becker, who won the age grading at the ten mile championships three weeks ago, would compete. Apologies to Rick! Other top contenders include Vazquez, Brian Crowley, Rick Lee, and Ken Youngers. Last year Larson and Lee went 1-2 here, with Crowley fifth. Their PLP's were: 93.7, 92.4, and 91.0. Youngers finished 3rd at the ten-mile championships last month with an 89.43 PLP. Vazquez split Larson and Lee at the Masters 10 Km championships. Larson, Vazquez, and Lee finished 1-2-3 with PLP's of 93.62, 91.84, and 91.33. I am not sure there is a good reason to think the order might be different on Sunday. Lee has had enough ups and downs recently that his spot is, arguably, the least secure. Crowley is, perhaps, a bit more likely to move up onto the podium than Youngers, should Lee, or either of the other two run into problems.

Likely Podium Contenders in Alphabetical Order

Nat Larson     Rick Lee    Mario Vazquez

TEAMS NOTE: Preview based on Status of Entries as of Thursday night when online registration closed. I had no access to any team changes made at packet pickup on Saturday. I don't specifically identify an order of finish although I do talk about it and, in some cases, do include a few guesses. It is always tricky to guess outcomes of team races because there are so many unknowns and so many possible challenges to success. But here goes anyway! [The treatment here is more free-wheeling than the rest.]

M40+ With Flynn, Daza, Gaynor and Totten-Lancaster all drawing a mention in the Overall Championships section, the Garden State Track Club is a solid favorite in this division. Shore AC Edward Ross, Joseph Maranzani, Christopher Whitehead, and Andrew Yeardsley looks good for a battle with Fleet Feet/Essex Brian Rock, Danny Santos, Glen Freyer for the silver medal position.

M50+ The Atlanta Track Club Christophe Cadou, Frederick Dolan, Brian Sydow and the Shore AC Jeff Conston, Joseph Demetrick, Ken Ginsburg look closely matched for the team win. It may be equally close between the Greater Springfield Harriers Nat Larson, Mark Hixson, Francis Burdett and the New jersey Pacers Carlos Nunes, Alberto Perez, Ed Kavanagh depending on what Burdett brings to the 12K this weekend. Burdett had hip replacement scheduled at some point. But I cannot remember if he was already on the way back from that at Dedham or if it had been postponed and will have happened in the interim. If he runs as well as he did in Dedham or better, the lead that Larson and Hixson build up should certainly be safe. If he is in worse shape than that, perhaps from recovering from the replacement surgery, then the NJ Pacers may get the bronze.

M60+ It looks like Atlanta Ken Youngers, Lester Dragstedt, Casey Hannan, Greg Oshust have four athletes who can break 50 minutes. So even if Dragstedt's stress fracture recovery is not full or if one of the others runs into an unexpected problem, they look like a pretty robust 2:26 or so. Shore Henry Notaro, Donald Schwarz, Carl Gensib, Kevin Dollard should start with an advantage from Notaro, but their other three runners are all probably more like 51 to 52-minute runners for a 12K. If so, that gives Atlanta a small edge, but an edge. It looks closer between Ann Arbor Track Club Larry Sak, Rich Power, Ward Freeman and the Genesee Valley Harriers Mike Mertens, Wayne Crandall, Tim Riccardi. If Sak and Power can hand with Mertens and if Freeman is not too far adrift of Crandall and Riccardi, their total times, by guess and by golly, come out around 2:35. That looks like a toss-up for the bronze medal.

M70+ Shore Reno Stirrat, Peter Auteri, Bill Bosmann, Ken Wilson should get an initial lead from Stirrat. But then the Greater Philadelphia Track Club Don Morrison, Fernando Moura, Tom Jennings should have both Morrison and Mora finishing shortly after Stirrat. But then Auteri and Bosmann should finish right around an hour. Then it will be a waiting game to see if Jennings can have the exceptional 1:05 or better he would need out of the 80-84 division. If he can, the gold medals could go either way. But Shore is favored with GPTC a close second. With neither Kirk Larson nor Dave Glass on the roster, Atlanta Jerry Learned, Ward Irvin, Allen Joyce will probably be looking at the bronze medals and 80 points toward the M70+ Grand Prix.

W40+ Garden State Elizabeth Wakeling, Maria Mahoney, Jeanelle Jamison looks good for the win, although Shore Jessica Francis, Karen dos Santos, Natacha Smith is not far off. If Wakeling stays close to Francis, or vice versa, Mahoney comes in a little ahead of the rest, with Jamison staying with dos Santos and both finishing well ahead of Smith, GSTC gets the win. Local NJ clubs, who are mainly focused on the USATF-NJ GP points will, nonetheless, compete for the bronze medals here. They are: Fleet Feet/Essex racing, Clifton Road Runners and Raritan Valley, with that being, perhaps, the likely order of finish.

W50+ Garden State Hortencia Aliaga, Kim Aspholm, Katherine Huggins, Gabrielle PanepintoGreater Philadelphia Abby Dean, Mary Swan, Anabelle Broadbent and Shore AC Ali Marzulla, Alysia Puma, Laura Delea battle for the win. GSTC appears to have the edge. Aliaga should be first finisher and two of the three, Aspholm, Huggins and Panepinto should at least hold their own against the second two of GPTC and Shore. It could be close between GPTC and Shore. Dean gives GPTC the early edge but if Marzulla is not too far back and if Puma and Delea can run with or ahead of Swan and Broadbent, Shore could get the silver medals.

W60+ Shore Suzanne La Burt, Nora Cary, Donna Grocki should take the win here. Liberty AC Mary Cass, Amanda King, Mary McNullty looks good for second. Even if Cass can stay close to La Burt, Cary should come in well ahead of King and McNulty, with Grocki a good bet to edge both or at least be very close. Impala Racing Dana Blum, Suzanne Cordes, Teresa Quan is probably here mostly for the team GP points. They sent three very talented runners but they will have a hard time matching up with Shore and Liberty.

That is it! We can hope that the weather is not much of a factor and that all have good, solid races tomorrow.